Friendlies 1

Mar 16, 2025 at 7pm UK

Inter Miami CF Stadium

Honduras
1 - 2
Guatemala

Gabriel Hernandez Padilla (26')
Alvarez (30'), Raul Garcia Gonzales (90')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Ardon (31'), Escobar (85')
Rubin (87')

Coverage of the International Friendlies Friendlies 1 clash between Honduras and Guatemala.

Form, Standings, Stats

Honduras

All competitions

Last Game: Mexico 4-0 Honduras
Wednesday, November 20 at 2.30am in CONCACAF Nations League

Current League A Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Jamaica	4	5	10
2	Honduras	4	7	7
3	Suriname	4	3	5
4	Cuba	4	-3	5
5	Haiti	4	-1	3
6	Grenada	4	-11	1

Guatemala

All competitions

Last Game: Costa Rica 3-0 Guatemala
Wednesday, October 16 at 1am in CONCACAF Nations League

Current League A Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Panama	4	7	10
2	Trinidad and Tobago	4	1	9
3	Martinique	4	-1	7
4	Guatemala	4	-2	4
5	Curacao	4	-1	3
6	El Salvador	4	-4	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Honduras win with a probability of 58.75%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Guatemala had a probability of 19.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Honduras win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 2-0 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.28%), while for a Guatemala win it was 0-1 (5.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
Honduras	Draw	Guatemala
58.75% ( -0.55)	21.82% ( 0.22)	19.43% ( 0.32)

Both teams to score 54.63% (

-0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.61% (

-0.51)

43.39% (

0.51)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.21% (

-0.5)

65.79% (

0.5)

Honduras Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.55% (

-0.34)

14.44% (

0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.61% (

-0.66)

42.39% (

0.66)

Guatemala Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.85% (

0.05)

36.14% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.07% (

0.05)

72.93% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Honduras 58.75%

Guatemala 19.43%

Draw 21.82%

Honduras	Draw	Guatemala
1-0 @ 10.1% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 9.95% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.77% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 6.41% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 6.3% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 3.26% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 3.1% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 3.05% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 1.58% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 1.2% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 1.18% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.84% Total : 58.75%	1-1 @ 10.28% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 5.22% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 5.06% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 21.82%	0-1 @ 5.31% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 5.23% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 2.7% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 1.77% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.72% ( 0) 0-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.78% Total : 19.43%