Friendlies 1
Mar 16, 2025 at 7pm UK
Inter Miami CF Stadium
Honduras1 - 2Guatemala
Coverage of the International Friendlies Friendlies 1 clash between Honduras and Guatemala.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Mexico 4-0 Honduras
Wednesday, November 20 at 2.30am in CONCACAF Nations League
Wednesday, November 20 at 2.30am in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Costa Rica 3-0 Guatemala
Wednesday, October 16 at 1am in CONCACAF Nations League
Wednesday, October 16 at 1am in CONCACAF Nations League
| Current League A Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Panama | 4 | 7 | 10 |
| 2 | Trinidad and Tobago | 4 | 1 | 9 |
| 3 | Martinique | 4 | -1 | 7 |
| 4 | Guatemala | 4 | -2 | 4 |
| 5 | Curacao | 4 | -1 | 3 |
| 6 | El Salvador | 4 | -4 | 1 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Honduras win with a probability of 58.75%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Guatemala had a probability of 19.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Honduras win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 2-0 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.28%), while for a Guatemala win it was 0-1 (5.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Honduras | Draw | Guatemala |
58.75% ( -0.55) | 21.82% ( 0.22) | 19.43% ( 0.32) |
| Both teams to score 54.63% ( -0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
