International Friendlies
Oct 6, 2026 12.35pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Chongqing Longxing Football Stadium
  • Wenneng Xie 32' yellowcard
  • Wei Shihao 45' yellowcard
  • Wei Shihao 59' redcard
  • Yihao Zhong 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mekhrubon Karimov 44'
  • yellowcard Alijon Karomatullozoda 45'+2'
  • goal Vakhdat Khanonov 53'
  • yellowcard Shervoni Mabatshoev 54'
  • yellowcard Muhammadjoni Hasan 86'

China vs Tajikistan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

China

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Oct 2, 2026 12.35pm
China 0 - 5 Palestine

Tajikistan

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tajikistan win with a probability of 47.17%. A win for China had a probability of 30.65% and a draw had a probability of 22.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tajikistan win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.04%) and 0-2 (7.82%). The likeliest China win was 1-0 (7.62%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.

Result

China 30.65% ▲ (+0.21)
Draw 22.18% ▲ (+0.17)
Tajikistan 47.17% ▼ (-0.37)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.96% ▼ (-0.18)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.5% ▼ (-0.32)
Under 1.5 23.5% ▲ (+0.33)
Over 2.5 53.58% ▼ (-0.33)
Under 2.5 46.42% ▲ (+0.33)
Over 3.5 32.17% ▼ (-0.41)
Under 3.5 67.83% ▲ (+0.41)
Over 4.5 20.16% ▼ (-0.47)
Under 4.5 79.84% ▲ (+0.47)

First Half Winner

China 18.75% ▼ (-0.42)
Draw 37.6% ▼ (-0.06)
Tajikistan 43.65% ▲ (+0.47)

Team To Score First

China 37.49% ▼ (-0.11)
No Goal 6.45% ▲ (+0.09)
Tajikistan 56.06% ▲ (+0.03)

Corners

Over 8 49.1% ▼ (-1.04)
Equal 8 11.15% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 8 39.75% ▲ (+1.05)
Over 9 38.46% ▼ (-0.93)
Equal 9 10.65% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 9 50.9% ▲ (+1.04)
Over 10.5 29.05% ▼ (-0.78)
Under 10.5 70.95% ▲ (+0.79)

China Goals

Over 1.5 31.13% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 1.5 68.87% ▼ (-0.13)
Over 2.5 12.65% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 87.35% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 3.5 4.14% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 95.86% ▲ (+0.02)

Tajikistan Goals

Over 0.5 74.36% ▼ (-0.24)
Under 0.5 25.64% ▲ (+0.25)
Over 1.5 45.4% ▼ (-0.54)
Under 1.5 54.6% ▲ (+0.54)
Over 2.5 22.91% ▼ (-0.52)
Under 2.5 77.09% ▲ (+0.53)
Over 3.5 10.79% ▼ (-0.48)
Under 3.5 89.21% ▲ (+0.47)

Score analysis

China 30.65%
Draw 22.17%
Tajikistan 47.17%
China
1-0 @ 7.62% ▲ (+0.08)
2-1 @ 6.39% ▲ (+0.06)
2-0 @ 5.01% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.05% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 2.56% ▲ (+0.06)
3-2 @ 2.03% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 3.99% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 30.65%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.1% ▲ (+0.09)
0-0 @ 6.45% ▲ (+0.09)
2-2 @ 4.6% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 0.15% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 22.17%
Tajikistan
0-1 @ 9.42% ▲ (+0.17)
1-2 @ 8.04%
0-2 @ 7.82% ▼ (-0.07)
0-3 @ 4.41% ▼ (-0.05)
1-3 @ 4.36% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.48%
Other @ 10.64% ▼ (-0.44)
Total : 47.17%

Head to Head

Asian Cup
Jan 13, 2024 2.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Abdullah bin Nasser bin Khalifa Stadium
  • Shangyuan Wang 29' yellowcard
  • <TBD> 80' goal
  • yellowcard Parvizchon Umarbaev 74'
  • yellowcard Shahrom Samiev 90'+4'
International Friendlies
Jun 11, 2019 1.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Yang Xu 10' goal
  • Wang Gang 44' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ehsoni Panshanbe 6'
  • yellowcard Amirbek Juraboev 47'
  • yellowcard Iskandar Dzhalilov 58'