International Friendlies
Oct 2, 2026 12.35pm
Chongqing Longxing Football Stadium

China vs Turkmenistan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

China

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Sep 27, 2026 12.35pm
China 0 - 3 New Zealand

Turkmenistan

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a China win with a probability of 54.11%. A draw had a probability of 26.27% and a win for Turkmenistan had a probability of 19.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a China win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.08%) and 2-1 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.84%) , while for a Turkmenistan win it was 0-1 (8.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood.

Result

China 54.11%
Draw 26.27%
Turkmenistan 19.62%

Both Teams to Score: 

42.7%

Goals

Over 1.5 65.46%
Under 1.5 34.54%
Over 2.5 39.43%
Under 2.5 60.57%
Over 3.5 19.6%
Under 3.5 80.4%
Over 4.5 10.64%
Under 4.5 89.36%

First Half Winner

China 36.62%
Draw 45.64%
Turkmenistan 17.74%

Team To Score First

China 56.97%
No Goal 10.95%
Turkmenistan 32.08%

Corners

Over 8 52.24%
Equal 8 12.66%
Under 8 35.09%
Over 9 39.87%
Equal 9 12.38%
Under 9 47.76%
Over 10.5 28.85%
Under 10.5 71.15%

China Goals

Over 1.5 43.01%
Under 1.5 56.99%
Over 2.5 18.59%
Under 2.5 81.41%
Over 3.5 6.51%
Under 3.5 93.49%

Turkmenistan Goals

Over 0.5 50.77%
Under 0.5 49.23%
Over 1.5 17.17%
Under 1.5 82.83%
Over 2.5 3.83%
Under 2.5 96.17%
Over 3.5 0.9%
Under 3.5 99.1%

Score analysis

China 54.11%
Draw 26.27%
Turkmenistan 19.61%
China
1-0 @ 15.45%
2-0 @ 11.08%
2-1 @ 9.16%
3-0 @ 5.24%
3-1 @ 4.47%
3-2 @ 2.21%
Other @ 6.5%
Total : 54.11%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.84%
0-0 @ 10.95%
2-2 @ 3.31%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 26.27%
Turkmenistan
0-1 @ 8.13%
1-2 @ 4.7%
0-2 @ 3.12%
1-3 @ 1.18%
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 19.61%