Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tajikistan win with a probability of 52.21%. A draw had a probability of 24.24% and a win for Palestine had a probability of 23.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tajikistan win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.55%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.21%) , while for a Palestine win it was 0-1 (7.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.