Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambodia win with a probability of 57.82%. A draw had a probability of 22.55% and a win for Hong Kong had a probability of 19.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambodia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.84%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.41%) , while for a Hong Kong win it was 0-1 (5.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.