Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Hong Kong win with a probability of 75.58%. A draw has a probability of 12.23% and a win for Mongolia has a probability of 12.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hong Kong win is 3-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.05%) and 1-0 (7.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (5.5%) , while for a Mongolia win it is 1-2 (3.02%).