International Friendlies
Jun 5, 2026 1.00pm
Hong Kong Stadium

Hong Kong vs Mongolia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Hong Kong

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Mar 26, 2026 12.15pm
Nepal 0 - 0 Hong Kong

Mongolia

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
May 31, 2026 12.30pm
Singapore 4 - 0 Mongolia

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Hong Kong win with a probability of 75.58%. A draw has a probability of 12.23% and a win for Mongolia has a probability of 12.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hong Kong win is 3-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.05%) and 1-0 (7.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (5.5%) , while for a Mongolia win it is 1-2 (3.02%).

Result

Hong Kong 75.58% (-0.18)
Draw 12.23% (+0.16)
Mongolia 12.2% (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.7% (-0.10)

Goals

Over 1.5 87.22% (-0.25)
Under 1.5 12.78% (+0.25)
Over 2.5 71.04% (-0.42)
Under 2.5 28.96% (+0.43)
Over 3.5 50.78% (-0.47)
Under 3.5 49.22% (+0.47)
Over 4.5 41.03% (-0.52)
Under 4.5 58.97% (+0.52)

First Half Winner

Hong Kong 72.56% (-0.21)
Draw 22.09% (+0.17)
Mongolia 5.35% (+0.03)

Team To Score First

Hong Kong 83.18% (+0.02)
No Goal 2.95% (+0.07)
Mongolia 13.87% (-0.08)

Corners

Over 8 58% (+0.54)
Equal 8 10.61% (-0.09)
Under 8 31.39% (-0.47)
Over 9 47.16% (+0.57)
Equal 9 10.84% (-0.05)
Under 9 42% (-0.54)
Over 10.5 36.92% (+0.57)
Under 10.5 63.08% (-0.57)

Hong Kong Goals

Over 1.5 73.4% (-0.29)
Under 1.5 26.6% (+0.30)
Over 2.5 53.64% (-0.47)
Under 2.5 46.36% (+0.47)
Over 3.5 35.05% (-0.57)
Under 3.5 64.95% (+0.57)

Mongolia Goals

Over 0.5 35.95% (+0.20)
Under 0.5 64.05% (-0.19)
Over 1.5 15.53% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 84.47% (-0.07)
Over 2.5 5.62% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 94.38% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 1.87% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 98.13% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Hong Kong 75.58%
Draw 12.23%
Mongolia 12.2%
Hong Kong
3-0 @ 9.97% (+0.06)
2-0 @ 9.05% (+0.12)
1-0 @ 7.1% (+0.16)
2-1 @ 6.59% (+0.04)
3-1 @ 5.59% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.29% (+0.03)
Other @ 34.99% (-0.58)
Total : 75.58%
Draw
1-1 @ 5.5% (+0.05)
2-2 @ 2.98% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 2.95% (+0.07)
Other @ 0.06% (+0.01)
Total : 12.23%
Mongolia
1-2 @ 3.02% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 2.74% (+0.04)
0-2 @ 1.62% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.19% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.14% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 12.2%