International Friendlies
Mar 26, 2026 12.15pm
Dashrath Rangasala

Nepal vs Hong Kong - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Nepal

All competitions

Hong Kong

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hong Kong win with a probability of 54.18%. A win for Nepal had a probability of 24.54% and a draw had a probability of 21.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hong Kong win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.03%) and 0-2 (8.27%). The likeliest Nepal win was 2-1 (5.66%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result

Nepal 24.54% (+0.75)
Draw 21.28% (+0.99)
Hong Kong 54.18% (-1.73)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.34% (-0.82)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.65% (-1.99)
Under 1.5 19.35% (+2.00)
Over 2.5 59.32% (-3.00)
Under 2.5 40.68% (+3.00)
Over 3.5 37.75% (-2.82)
Under 3.5 62.25% (+2.82)
Over 4.5 24.29% (-2.52)
Under 4.5 75.71% (+2.51)

First Half Winner

Nepal 22.74% (+1.81)
Draw 40.22% (+2.29)
Hong Kong 37.04% (-4.11)

Team To Score First

Nepal 33.67% (+1.49)
No Goal 5.07% (+0.66)
Hong Kong 61.26% (-2.14)

Corners

Over 8 44.71% (-1.89)
Equal 8 11.11% (-0.09)
Under 8 44.18% (+1.97)
Over 9 34.45% (-1.65)
Equal 9 10.26% (-0.24)
Under 9 55.29% (+1.89)
Over 10.5 25.68% (-1.34)
Under 10.5 74.32% (+1.34)

Nepal Goals

Over 1.5 29.56% (-0.18)
Under 1.5 70.44% (+0.18)
Over 2.5 11.6% (-0.49)
Under 2.5 88.4% (+0.49)
Over 3.5 4.31% (-0.16)
Under 3.5 95.69% (+0.15)

Hong Kong Goals

Over 0.5 80.67% (-1.43)
Under 0.5 19.33% (+1.42)
Over 1.5 53.83% (-2.92)
Under 1.5 46.17% (+2.92)
Over 2.5 29.1% (-2.91)
Under 2.5 70.9% (+2.92)
Over 3.5 12.97% (-2.12)
Under 3.5 87.03% (+2.13)

Score analysis

Nepal 24.53%
Draw 21.29%
Hong Kong 54.18%
Nepal
2-1 @ 5.66% (+0.15)
1-0 @ 5.25% (+0.59)
2-0 @ 3.41% (+0.29)
3-1 @ 2.5% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.11% (-0.14)
3-0 @ 1.39% (-0.05)
Other @ 4.21% (-0.06)
Total : 24.53%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.65% (+0.63)
2-2 @ 5.18% (-0.07)
0-0 @ 5.07% (+0.66)
3-3 @ 1.29% (-0.14)
Other @ 0.1% (-0.09)
Total : 21.29%
Hong Kong
1-2 @ 9.17% (+0.09)
0-1 @ 9.03% (+0.75)
0-2 @ 8.27% (+0.11)
1-3 @ 5.78% (-0.23)
0-3 @ 5.35% (-0.37)
2-3 @ 3.71% (-0.07)
Other @ 12.87% (-2.04)
Total : 54.18%

Head to Head

International Friendlies
Jun 5, 2025 1.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Fernando 30' yellowcard
  • Walter Soares Belitardo Junior 45'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ananta Tamang 37'
  • yellowcard Bimal Panday 85'
  • yellowcard Mani Kumar Lama 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Mani Kumar Lama 90'+4'