Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambodia win with a probability of 68.6%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Aruba had a probability of 13.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambodia win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 1-0 (8.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.06%), while for an Aruba win it was 1-2 (3.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.