Azerbaijan vs Belarus - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Azerbaijan win with a probability of 37.14%. A win for Belarus had a probability of 34.88% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for an Azerbaijan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.89%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Belarus win was 0-1 (10.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Belarus would win this match.