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Livingston logo
Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 17
Dec 5, 2021 at 3pm UK
Almondvale Stadium
Hearts logo

Livingston
0 - 1
Hearts


Holt (32'), Sibbald (50'), Anderson (73')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Boyce (49')
Haring (70'), Souttar (78'), Gnanduillet (90'), Devlin (90+4')

Preview: Livingston vs. Hearts - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Scottish Premiership clash between Livingston and Hearts, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Two teams at opposite ends of the Scottish Premiership table will meet on Sunday when Hearts travel to the Tony Macaroni Arena to play Livingston.

Both head into this match following a midweek defeat and each needs points for very different reasons, with the hosts in the relegation zone while the visitors are in the title race.


Match preview

Livingston manager David Martindale pictured in February 2021© Reuters

Livingston have recently slumped into the relegation zone due to their results, with the Lions currently only two points off bottom place, adding further pressure onto this match.

Even though they have Ross County breathing down their neck, the club is only one point behind St Johnstone, with a victory having the potential to lift them out.

However, David Martindale's team would need to win for the first time in five matches to make that happen, with the squad undergoing a difficult spell right now.

Livingston followed a trio of draws with consecutive defeats recently as they kicked off the December fixtures with a 2-0 loss against Aberdeen.

A goal in either side of the half proved to be enough for the Dons to secure the three points and things went from bad to worse for the Lions when Jackson Longridge was sent off.

Hearts manager Robbie Neilson pictured on October 31, 2020© Reuters

Despite the fact they are at the opposite end of the table in third, Hearts were also defeated in midweek when they faced Celtic, losing out 1-0.

It is a result that has left the team with more work to do if they want to remain in the title hunt as they now sit five points behind the Hoops and a further four away from Rangers.

The Jam Tarts have been inconsistent as of late, securing only two victories in their previous six fixtures with one draw and a trio of defeats in that period.

This match will likely be a welcomed fixture on paper for the club, with Hearts in a need to build a string of performances in the winter period to get back in the mix.

Robbie Nielson's men were dominant when they last faced Livingston, recording a 3-0 victory with a trio of different goalscorers which is something they will be keen to repeat.

Livingston Scottish Premiership form:
  • W
  • D
  • D
  • D
  • L
  • L

Livingston form (all competitions):
  • W
  • D
  • D
  • D
  • L
  • L

Hearts Scottish Premiership form:
  • D
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • L

Hearts form (all competitions):
  • D
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • L



Team News

Livingston manager David Martindale pictured in February 2021© Reuters

Livingston are guaranteed to have at least one change on Sunday due to the red card that Longridge was shown, which provides an opportunity for James Penrice to step in.

This switch could result in the Lions reverting to a flat-back four, rather than the three central defenders they were working with at the start of their midweek game.

Beni Baningime ended up missing out on the defeat that Hearts suffered against Celtic due to an ankle injury and that is something that will keep him out of the team on Sunday.

Liam Boyce was a strange omission for the Jam Tarts on Tuesday, but considering the lack of goals for them in that game, there is a chance he will return to the starting lineup here.

Livingston possible starting lineup:
Stryjek; Penrice, Parks, Obileye, Fitzwater; Omeonga, Holt, Devlin; Forrest, Bailey; Anderson

Hearts possible starting lineup:
Gordon; Kingsley, Halkett, Souttar, Smith; Devlin, Haring; McKay, McEneff, Woodburn; Boyce


SM words green background

We say: Livingston 0-2 Hearts

Livingston's form has been poor as of late and a fixture against Hearts is not the easiest way of solving that issue due to their current league position.

The visitors have confidence at the moment and shall be attempting to get back to winning ways immediately at the expense of the Lions.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data



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Written by
Matthew Wilkinson

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 44.78%. A win for Livingston had a probability of 28.94% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.99%) and 0-2 (8.15%). The likeliest Livingston win was 1-0 (8.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Hearts in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Hearts.


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Game History

How you voted: Livingston vs Hearts

Livingston
5.6%
Draw
27.8%
Hearts
66.7%
18
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Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic1514104444043
2Aberdeen16104230181234
3RangersRangers1510232791832
4Dundee UnitedDundee Utd156632215724
5Motherwell157171823-522
6Dundee165472729-219
7St Mirren165381926-718
8Ross County163671230-1815
9St Johnstone1642101829-1114
10Kilmarnock163581734-1714
11Hearts163491825-713
12Hibernian162681828-1012


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