Greek Superleague
Apr 4, 2026 4.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Theodoros Kolokotronis
  • Julián Bartolo 12' goal
  • Federico Macheda 59' goal
  • Nikolaos Kaltsas 75' yellowcard
  • Chidera Michael 75' yellowcard
  • Chidera Michael 76' yellowcard
  • Theofanis Tzandaris 87' yellowcard
  • Chidera Michael 90' goal
  • Dimitris Emmanouilidis 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Konstantinos Pomonis 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Giannis Pasas 46'
  • yellowcard Savvas Mourgos 64'
  • yellowcard Facundo Pérez 64'
  • yellowcard Leandro Garate 78'
  • yellowcard Zisis Chatzistravos 78'
  • goal Leandro Garate 90'+3'

Asteras Tripolis vs AEL Larissa - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Asteras Tripolis

All competitions
Greek Superleague
Last game
Mar 22, 2026 5.00pm
Asteras 1 - 2 Panathinaikos
Goals scored
22
Top scorer
Julián Bartolo

AEL Larissa

All competitions
Greek Superleague
Last game
Mar 22, 2026 5.00pm
Olympiacos 0 - 0 Larissa
Goals scored
23
Top scorer
Ángelo Sagal

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Asteras Tripolis win with a probability of 41.65%. A win for AEL Larissa had a probability of 30% and a draw had a probability of 28.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Asteras Tripolis win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (7.66%). The likeliest AEL Larissa win was 0-1 (10.09%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.

Result

Asteras Tripolis 41.65%
Draw 28.35% (+0.04)
AEL Larissa 30% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.41% (-0.07)

Goals

Over 1.5 67.52% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 32.48% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 41.71% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 58.29% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 21.05% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 78.95% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 10.58% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 89.42% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Asteras Tripolis 29.64%
Draw 45.17%
AEL Larissa 25.18%

Team To Score First

Asteras Tripolis 50.34%
No Goal 9.94%
AEL Larissa 39.72%

Corners

Over 8 49.96%
Equal 8 12.23%
Under 8 37.8%
Over 9 38.24%
Equal 9 11.73%
Under 9 50.04%
Over 10.5 27.93%
Under 10.5 72.07%

Asteras Tripolis Goals

Over 1.5 36.13% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 63.87% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 13.72% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 86.28% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 4.12%
Under 3.5 95.88%

AEL Larissa Goals

Over 0.5 62.64% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 37.36% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 27.34% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 72.66% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 8.57% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 91.43% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 2.24% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 97.76% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Asteras Tripolis 41.64%
Draw 28.36%
AEL Larissa 30%
Asteras Tripolis
1-0 @ 12.45%
2-1 @ 8.6% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 7.66%
3-1 @ 3.58%
3-0 @ 3.27%
3-2 @ 2.04%
Other @ 4.04% (-0.01)
Total : 41.64%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.03% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 9.94%
2-2 @ 4.6%
Other @ 0.08% (+0.01)
Total : 28.36%
AEL Larissa
0-1 @ 10.09% (+0.03)
1-2 @ 7.02%
0-2 @ 5.11% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.29% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.78%
2-3 @ 1.55% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.16% (-0.03)
Total : 30%

Head to Head

Greek Superleague Gameweek 25
Mar 14, 2026 6.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Alkazar
  • Ángelo Sagal 55' yellowcard
  • Goni Naor 70' yellowcard
  • Giannis Pasas 70' yellowcard
  • Facundo Pérez 82' yellowcard
  • Konstantinos Apostolakis 87' yellowcard
  • Savvas Mourgos 87' yellowcard
  • goal Julián Bartolo 40'
  • yellowcard Ketu Jih Kalvin 66'
  • yellowcard Dimitris Laskaris 71'
  • yellowcard Federico Macheda 86'
  • yellowcard Theofanis Tzandaris 86'
  • yellowcard Theofanis Tzandaris 88'
Greek Superleague
Sep 14, 2025 4.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Greek Superleague Gameweek 18
Jan 23, 2021 1.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Theodoros Kolokotronis
  • Jeronimo Barrales 60' goal
  • Giannis Kotsiras 69' yellowcard
  • Jeronimo Barrales 73' yellowcard
  • Dani Suarez 79' yellowcard
  • Antonis Tsiftsis 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alexios Michail 47'
  • yellowcard Fiorin Durmishaj 65'
  • yellowcard Theocharis Iliadis 69'
  • yellowcard Nikola Zizic 80'
Greek Superleague Gameweek 5
Oct 18, 2020 4.15pm
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Alkazar
  • Radomir Milosavljevic 36' yellowcard
  • Adnan Secerovic 51' yellowcard
  • Alexandros Nikolias 79' yellowcard
  • Mateo Muzek 89' goal
  • Nikola Trujic 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Jeronimo Barrales 42'
  • yellowcard Sito 52'
  • yellowcard Dani Suarez 68'
  • yellowcard Luis Fernandez 73'
  • yellowcard Christos Tasoulis 74'
  • goal Jeronimo Barrales 75'
  • yellowcard Borja Fernandez 90'+1'
  • goal Luis Fernandez 90'+4'
Greek Superleague Gameweek 1
Jun 7, 2020 5.15pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT AEL Arena
  • Radomir Milosavljevic 42' goal
  • Theocharis Iliadis 63' yellowcard
  • Jean Luc Gbayara 82' yellowcard
  • goal Jeronimo Barrales 45'+4'
  • goal Luis Fernandez 55'
  • yellowcard Jeronimo Barrales 64'
  • yellowcard Juan Munafo 78'
  • yellowcard Sito 87'
Greek Superleague Gameweek 26
Mar 1, 2020 5.00pm
3
0
HT : 3 0
FT AEL FC Arena
  • Radomir Milosavljevic 18' goal
  • Gabriel Torje 28' yellowcard
  • Radomir Milosavljevic 36' goal
  • Vangelis Moras 41' yellowcard
  • Radomir Milosavljevic 44' goal
  • Mateo Muzek 65' yellowcard
  • Athanasios Papazoglou 86' yellowcard
  • Manolis Bertos 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Triantafyllos Pasalidis 21'
  • yellowcard Angel Martinez 79'
  • yellowcard Christos Tasoulis 84'