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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 24
Feb 5, 2022 at 10.30am UK
Gaziantep Arena

Gaziantep
5 - 1
Sivasspor

Djilobodji (6', 41'), Demir (12'), Maxim (70' pen.), Soyalp (76')
Demir (45+6'), Vetrih (61'), Kitsiou (80'), Sagal (86')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Goutas (29')
Cofie (59'), Gradel (61'), Osmanpasa (86')
Yatabare (63')

Preview: Gaziantep vs. Sivasspor - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Gaziantep and Sivasspor, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Gaziantep and Sivasspor enter their clash on Saturday in similar form, and only one point separates them in the Turkish Super Lig, with this weekend's hosts sitting in ninth, while Sivasspor occupy 10th spot.

A late push for a top-four finish in the remaining part of this season should not be ruled out by either side, but they will have to put together an excellent run of results, as Gaziantep are currently five points behind fourth place.


Match preview

Sivasspor Riza Calimbay pictured on November 5, 2020© Reuters

Gaziantep failed to find the back of the net for a second consecutive game last time out, but they did manage to earn a point in their goalless draw with Antalyaspor.

Having registered seven shots on target, Erol Bulut's side would have been disappointed that a draw was all they could manage on Sunday, but scoring goals has been one of their downfalls this campaign.

Bulut's team are the lowest scorers in the Super Lig's top 15 sides, so every other team apart from those fighting against relegation, but they are much more effective in the final third on their own patch.

Gaziantep remain unbeaten at the Gaziantep Stadyumu, and have netted 21 times in their 10 matches at home, suggesting that their own crowd can expect to see goals this weekend.

Sivasspor have managed to score more goals and concede fewer up to this point in the season, but find themselves one point behind their hosts this weekend, having only won once in January.

Last time out, Pedro Henrique rescued a point for Sivasspor as the winger equalised in the 74th minute, sending their match against Fenerbahce to a 1-1 draw.

Riza Calimbay's side will be keen to leapfrog Gaziantep on Saturday, and that would put Sivasspor in a much stronger position to try and catch the teams aiming to qualify for European football next season.

Sivasspor have not managed to score more than one goal in a single game during their last six Super Lig outings, suggesting that they may need to keep a clean sheet to claim all three points this weekend.

Gaziantep needed to rely on a 92nd-minute equaliser from Joao Figueiredo to claim a point against Sivasspor during their last meeting in September, with the two teams having to settle for a 1-1 draw.

Gaziantep Turkish Super Lig form:
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • D

Gaziantep form (all competitions):
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • L
  • D

Sivasspor Turkish Super Lig form:
  • D
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • D

Sivasspor form (all competitions):
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • D



Team News

There are no new injury or suspension concerns for Bulut's side; however, Angelo Sagal and Dogan Erdogan are one yellow card away from receiving a one-match suspension.

Gaziantep will set up in their usual 5-3-2 formation, with Alexandru Maxim leading the line alongside Figueiredo, who is looking to add to his six goals in the division this season.

Furkan Soyalp, Erdogan and Recep Niyaz will continue as the midfield trio, but with just three goals and as many assists between them this season, they offer more defensive protection than attacking flare for Gaziantep.

Leke James and Hakan Arslan are both nearing a return for Sivasspor, having only been sidelined due to injury for a short period of time through January, but Saturday's outing is likely to have come too soon for the pair.

Winger Erdogan Yesilyurt faces a slightly longer spell on the sidelines having been forced off after just 15 minutes against Fenerbahce, and he is not expected to feature again until March.

Dimitrios Goutas came into the back four in place of Samba Camara last time out, and the former is expected to retain his place in the heart of defence alongside Caner Osmanpasa.

Gaziantep possible starting lineup:
Guvenc; Pehlivan, Tosca, Ersoy, Djilobodji, Kitsiou; Soyalp, Erdogan, Niyaz; Maxim, Figueiredo

Sivasspor possible starting lineup:
Vural; Ciftci, Osmanpasa, Goutas, Oguz; Yigiter; Henrique, Kesgin, Cofie, Kayode; Yatabare


SM words green background

We say: Gaziantep 2-0 Sivasspor

Having remained unbeaten at home so far this season, Gaziantep are favourites for this encounter and they should be able to find the back of the net a couple of times, as they have done so in their most recent home matches.

Sivasspor will not make it easy for the hosts, and with both teams close in the table it suggests that Saturday's clash will be a tight affair, but Gaziantep are strong on their own patch.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 2.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 2.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gaziantep win with a probability of 37.79%. A win for Sivasspor had a probability of 35.71% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gaziantep win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.27%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest Sivasspor win was 0-1 (9.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Gaziantep would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Gaziantep vs Sivasspor

Gaziantep
83.3%
Draw
16.7%
Sivasspor
0.0%
12
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1GalatasarayGalatasaray33293177215690
2Fenerbahce33275187305786
3TrabzonsporTrabzonspor331741256431355
4BesiktasBesiktas33156124438651
5Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul33147124438649
6Caykur RizesporCaykur Rizespor33146134349-648
7KasimpasaKasimpasa33137135559-446
8AntalyasporAntalyaspor331112103838045
9AlanyasporAlanyaspor331112104346-345
10SivassporSivasspor331112104045-545
11Adana Demirspor33914104944541
12Samsunspor33109143743-639
13AnkaragucuAnkaragucu33813124043-337
14KayserisporKayserispor331010133747-1037
15KonyasporKonyaspor33812133447-1336
16GaziantepGaziantep3397173750-1334
17Fatih KaragumrukKaragumruk3389163742-533
18Hatayspor33712143746-933
19Pendikspor3379173768-3130
RIstanbulspor3347222661-3516


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