Nations League Gameweek 2
Sep 28, 2026 5.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Boris Paichadze Dinamo Arena
  • Saba Goglichidze 54' yellowcard
  • Anzor Mekvabishvili 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Vladyslav Vanat 17'
  • yellowcard Danylo Sikan 46'
  • yellowcard Valeriy Bondar 75'
  • yellowcard Oleg Ocheretko 89'

Georgia vs Ukraine - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Georgia

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Sep 25, 2026 5.00pm
Georgia 0 - 1 N. Ireland

Ukraine

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Sep 25, 2026 7.45pm
Hungary 0 - 1 Ukraine

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Georgia win with a probability of 47.49%. A win for Ukraine had a probability of 28.04% and a draw had a probability of 24.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Georgia win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Ukraine win was 0-1 (7.25%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result

Georgia 47.49% ▼ (-0.02)
Draw 24.47% ▼ (-0.05)
Ukraine 28.04% ▲ (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.54%

Goals

Over 1.5 76.78% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 1.5 23.22% ▼ (-0.09)
Over 2.5 53.92% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 2.5 46.08% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 3.5 31.42% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 68.58% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 4.5 18.21% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 4.5 81.79% ▼ (-0.03)

First Half Winner

Georgia 41.56% ▼ (-0.06)
Draw 39.33% ▼ (-0.03)
Ukraine 19.11% ▲ (+0.08)

Team To Score First

Georgia 58.14% ▲ (+0.05)
No Goal 6.28% ▼ (-0.03)
Ukraine 35.58% ▼ (-0.03)

Corners

Over 8 45.68% ▲ (+0.07)
Equal 8 12.18%
Under 8 42.14% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 9 34.43% ▲ (+0.05)
Equal 9 11.25% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 9 54.32% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 10.5 24.87% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 10.5 75.13% ▼ (-0.05)

Georgia Goals

Over 1.5 46.72% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 53.28% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 22.66% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 2.5 77.34% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 3.5 8.73% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 91.27% ▼ (-0.03)

Ukraine Goals

Over 0.5 63.26% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 0.5 36.74% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 1.5 30.48% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 1.5 69.52% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 2.5 11.33% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 2.5 88.67% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 3.5 3.63% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 96.37% ▼ (-0.01)

Score analysis

Georgia 47.49%
Draw 24.48%
Ukraine 28.04%
Georgia
1-0 @ 9.7% ▼ (-0.05)
2-1 @ 9.11% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 7.45% ▼ (-0.05)
3-1 @ 5.1%
3-0 @ 4.81% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.81%
Other @ 8.51% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 47.49%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.32% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 6.28% ▼ (-0.03)
2-2 @ 5.45% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.21% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.22% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 24.48%
Ukraine
0-1 @ 7.25% ▼ (-0.04)
1-2 @ 6.81% ▲ (+0.05)
0-2 @ 4.08% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.67% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.05%
0-3 @ 1.77% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 28.04%

Head to Head

Nations League
Nov 16, 2024 5.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Baumit Arena
  • Luka Lochoshvili 31' yellowcard
  • Giorgi Gocholeishvili 70' yellowcard
  • Georges Mikautadze 76' goal
  • yellowcard Oleksandr Zubkov 3'
  • goal Saba Kverkvelia 7' (OG)
  • yellowcard Mykola Shaparenko 52'
  • yellowcard Vitaliy Mykolenko 82'
  • yellowcard Mykhaylo Mudryk 84'
Nations League
Oct 11, 2024 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT NSK Olimpijs'kyj
  • Mykola Matviyenko 29' yellowcard
  • Mykhaylo Mudryk 35' goal
  • Ivan Kaliuzhnyi 45'+5' yellowcard
  • Yukhym Konoplya 76' yellowcard
  • Maksym Talovierov 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Guram Kashia 11'
  • yellowcard Lasha Dvali 39'
  • yellowcard Giorgi Kochorashvili 63'
  • yellowcard Levan Shengelia 69'