Europa League
Mar 12, 2026 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Luminus Arena
  • Zakaria El Ouahdi 24' goal
  • Yaimar Medina 77' yellowcard
  • Mujaid Sadick 77' yellowcard
  • Yira Sor 77' yellowcard
  • Robin Mirisola 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Cyriaque Irié 63'
  • yellowcard Derry Scherhant 63'
  • yellowcard Lucas Höler 71'

Genk vs Freiburg - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Genk

All competitions

Freiburg

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 53.46%. A draw had a probability of 23.64% and a win for Freiburg had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 2-0 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.92%) , while for a Freiburg win it was 0-1 (6.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.

Result

Genk 53.46% (+0.08)
Draw 23.64%
Freiburg 22.9% (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.62% (-0.10)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.93% (-0.15)
Under 1.5 23.07% (+0.15)
Over 2.5 54% (-0.25)
Under 2.5 46% (+0.25)
Over 3.5 31.65% (-0.13)
Under 3.5 68.35% (+0.12)
Over 4.5 18.76% (-0.06)
Under 4.5 81.24% (+0.06)

First Half Winner

Genk 36.94% (+0.04)
Draw 41% (+0.14)
Freiburg 22.06% (-0.17)

Team To Score First

Genk 58.28% (+0.08)
No Goal 6.19% (+0.04)
Freiburg 35.53% (-0.11)

Corners

Over 8 61.76% (+0.08)
Equal 8 10.63% (-0.01)
Under 8 27.61% (-0.07)
Over 9 50.59% (+0.08)
Equal 9 11.17%
Under 9 38.24% (-0.08)
Over 10.5 39.78% (+0.07)
Under 10.5 60.22% (-0.07)

Genk Goals

Over 1.5 51.23% (-0.09)
Under 1.5 48.77% (+0.09)
Over 2.5 25.55% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 74.45% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 10.27%
Under 3.5 89.73%

Freiburg Goals

Over 0.5 59.08% (-0.18)
Under 0.5 40.92% (+0.18)
Over 1.5 26.31% (-0.20)
Under 1.5 73.69% (+0.19)
Over 2.5 8.74% (-0.12)
Under 2.5 91.26% (+0.13)
Over 3.5 2.54% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 97.46% (+0.03)

Score analysis

Genk 53.47%
Draw 23.64%
Freiburg 22.89%
Genk
1-0 @ 10.56% (+0.09)
2-1 @ 9.95% (-0.04)
2-0 @ 8.7% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 5.58% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5.37% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.21% (-0.02)
Other @ 10.1% (+0.01)
Total : 53.47%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.92% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 6.19% (+0.04)
2-2 @ 5.24% (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.12% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.17% (-0.01)
Total : 23.64%
Freiburg
0-1 @ 6.32% (+0.04)
1-2 @ 5.81% (-0.06)
0-2 @ 3.31% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 2.07% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.79% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.22% (-0.06)
Other @ 2.37% (-0.03)
Total : 22.89%