Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 53.46%. A draw had a probability of 23.64% and a win for Freiburg had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 2-0 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.92%) , while for a Freiburg win it was 0-1 (6.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.