Champions League Gameweek 7
Jan 21, 2026 5.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT RAMS Park
  • Marcos Llorente 20' goal
  • Gabriel Sara 65' yellowcard
  • Ismail Jakobs 80' yellowcard
  • Ilkay Gundogan 88' yellowcard
  • goal Giuliano Simeone 4'
  • yellowcard Alex Baena 46'
  • yellowcard Johnny Cardoso 56'
  • yellowcard Robin Le Normand 56'
  • yellowcard Antoine Griezmann 61'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Gonzalez 73'

Galatasaray vs Atletico Madrid - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Galatasaray

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Dec 9, 2025 8.00pm
Monaco 1 - 0 Galatasaray

Atletico Madrid

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Dec 9, 2025 8.00pm
PSV 2 - 3 Atletico

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 43.11%. A win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 34.21% and a draw had a probability of 22.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.58%) and 2-0 (6.45%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid win was 1-2 (7.99%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.

Result

Galatasaray 43.11% (-0.01)
Draw 22.68%
Atletico Madrid 34.21% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.99% (-0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.4% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 20.6% (+0.12)
Over 2.5 56.92% (-0.15)
Under 2.5 43.08% (+0.15)
Over 3.5 34% (-0.14)
Under 3.5 66% (+0.13)
Over 4.5 20.16% (-0.11)
Under 4.5 79.84% (+0.11)

First Half Winner

Galatasaray 35.34% (-0.05)
Draw 40.84% (+0.06)
Atletico Madrid 23.81% (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Galatasaray 52.98% (-0.03)
No Goal 5.11% (+0.04)
Atletico Madrid 41.91% (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 48.86% (-0.07)
Equal 8 11.36% (-0.01)
Under 8 39.78% (+0.07)
Over 9 38.04% (-0.06)
Equal 9 10.82% (-0.01)
Under 9 51.14% (+0.07)
Over 10.5 28.52% (-0.04)
Under 10.5 71.48% (+0.05)

Galatasaray Goals

Over 1.5 44.07% (-0.09)
Under 1.5 55.93% (+0.09)
Over 2.5 20.42% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 79.58% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 7.53% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 92.47% (+0.04)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5 68.69% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 31.31% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 37.32% (-0.09)
Under 1.5 62.68% (+0.09)
Over 2.5 15.42% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 84.58% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 5.25% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 94.75% (+0.05)

Score analysis

Galatasaray 43.1%
Draw 22.67%
Atletico Madrid 34.22%
Galatasaray
2-1 @ 8.9% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 8.58% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 6.45% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 4.69%
3-0 @ 3.66% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.32% (-0.02)
Other @ 7.5% (-0.04)
Total : 43.1%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.88% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.43% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 5.11% (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1.22% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.03% (-0.02)
Total : 22.67%
Atletico Madrid
1-2 @ 7.99% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 6.9% (+0.06)
0-2 @ 5.16% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 3.72%
2-3 @ 2.87%
0-3 @ 2.36%
Other @ 5.22% (-0.05)
Total : 34.22%

Head to Head

Champions League
Nov 25, 2015 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Antoine Griezmann 13' goal
  • Antoine Griezmann 65' goal
  • yellowcard Olcan Adin 56'
Champions League
Sep 15, 2015 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Burak Yilmaz 64' yellowcard
  • Yasin Oztekin 73' yellowcard
  • goal Antoine Griezmann 18'
  • goal Antoine Griezmann 25'
  • yellowcard Gabi 64'