Club Friendlies 3
Jul 15, 2026 6.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT GelreDome
  • yellowcard Barnabás Varga 39'
  • yellowcard 44'
  • yellowcard 90'+3'

Vitesse vs AEK Athens - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Vitesse

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 11, 2026 1.00pm
Vitesse 1 - 0 Borussia Dortmund II

AEK Athens

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 12, 2026 3.00pm
De Graafschap 1 - 2 AEK Athens

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 45.08%. A win for Vitesse had a probability of 29.47% and a draw had a probability of 25.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a AEK Athens win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.25%) and 0-2 (7.12%). The likeliest Vitesse win was 2-1 (7.39%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result

Vitesse 29.47% (+0.12)
Draw 25.45%
AEK Athens 45.08% (-0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.43% (+0.07)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.69% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 23.31% (-0.07)
Over 2.5 53.3% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 46.7% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 30.16% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 69.83% (-0.05)
Over 4.5 17.51% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 82.49% (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Vitesse 25.78% (+0.06)
Draw 42.27% (-0.02)
AEK Athens 31.95% (-0.04)

Team To Score First

Vitesse 42.23% (+0.03)
No Goal 6.83% (-0.01)
AEK Athens 50.94% (-0.03)

Corners

Over 8 57.94% (+0.01)
Equal 8 11.21%
Under 8 30.86%
Over 9 46.5%
Equal 9 11.43%
Under 9 42.06% (-0.01)
Over 10.5 35.78%
Under 10.5 64.22%

Vitesse Goals

Over 1.5 32.01% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 67.99% (-0.11)
Over 2.5 11.77% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 88.23% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 3.45% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 96.55% (-0.04)

AEK Athens Goals

Over 0.5 76.16%
Under 0.5 23.84%
Over 1.5 44.99% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 55.01% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 20.67% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 79.33% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 7.71% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 92.29% (+0.03)

Score analysis

Vitesse 29.48%
Draw 25.45%
AEK Athens 45.08%
Vitesse
2-1 @ 7.39% (+0.02)
1-0 @ 7.24% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 4.46% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 2.72% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.35% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 2.04%
Other @ 3.28% (+0.03)
Total : 29.48%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.81%
0-0 @ 6.83% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.43% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.21%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.45%
AEK Athens
1-2 @ 9.42% (-0.02)
0-1 @ 9.25% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 7.12%
1-3 @ 4.5%
0-3 @ 4.29% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.96%
Other @ 7.54% (-0.02)
Total : 45.08%