Club Friendlies 3
Jul 18, 2026 3.00pm
Red Bull Arena

Red Bull Salzburg vs Mamelodi Sundowns - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Red Bull Salzburg

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 15, 2026 2.00pm
Salzburg 0 - 3 Gamba Osaka

Mamelodi Sundowns

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
May 29, 2026 7.00pm
Mamelodi Sundowns 3 - 1 RB Leipzig

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mamelodi Sundowns win with a probability of 38.98%. A win for Red Bull Salzburg had a probability of 37.19% and a draw had a probability of 23.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mamelodi Sundowns win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.62%) and 0-2 (6.14%). The likeliest Red Bull Salzburg win was 2-1 (8.33%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result

Red Bull Salzburg 37.19% (-3.10)
Draw 23.83% (-0.66)
Mamelodi Sundowns 38.98% (+3.74)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.62% (-1.25)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.18% (-0.49)
Under 1.5 22.82% (+0.50)
Over 2.5 53.96% (-0.33)
Under 2.5 46.04% (+0.33)
Over 3.5 30.92% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 69.08% (-0.02)
Over 4.5 17.57% (-0.27)
Under 4.5 82.43% (+0.28)

First Half Winner

Red Bull Salzburg 28.56% (-2.07)
Draw 40.28% (-1.72)
Mamelodi Sundowns 31.16% (+3.79)

Team To Score First

Red Bull Salzburg 48.93% (-0.86)
No Goal 6.19% (+0.15)
Mamelodi Sundowns 44.88% (+0.73)

Corners

Over 8 53.29% (-3.29)
Equal 8 11.46% (-0.16)
Under 8 35.25% (+3.45)
Over 9 42.01% (-2.85)
Equal 9 11.28% (-0.46)
Under 9 46.71% (+3.29)
Over 10.5 31.78% (-2.22)
Under 10.5 68.22% (+2.21)

Red Bull Salzburg Goals

Over 1.5 38.51% (-2.90)
Under 1.5 61.49% (+2.90)
Over 2.5 16.08% (-1.36)
Under 2.5 83.92% (+1.36)
Over 3.5 5.27% (-0.92)
Under 3.5 94.73% (+0.92)

Mamelodi Sundowns Goals

Over 0.5 72.04% (+2.41)
Under 0.5 27.96% (-2.40)
Over 1.5 39.74% (+2.39)
Under 1.5 60.26% (-2.39)
Over 2.5 16.39% (+1.32)
Under 2.5 83.61% (-1.32)
Over 3.5 5.35% (+0.63)
Under 3.5 94.65% (-0.63)

Score analysis

Red Bull Salzburg 37.2%
Draw 23.84%
Mamelodi Sundowns 39%
Red Bull Salzburg
2-1 @ 8.33% (-0.75)
1-0 @ 8.05% (-0.52)
2-0 @ 5.79% (-0.64)
3-1 @ 4.1% (+0.17)
3-2 @ 2.96% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 2.71% (-0.46)
Other @ 5.26% (-0.90)
Total : 37.2%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.25% (-0.32)
0-0 @ 6.19% (+0.15)
2-2 @ 5.35% (-0.32)
3-3 @ 1.04% (-0.14)
Other @ 0.01% (-0.02)
Total : 23.84%
Mamelodi Sundowns
1-2 @ 8.9% (+0.65)
0-1 @ 8.62% (+0.90)
0-2 @ 6.14% (+0.75)
1-3 @ 3.92% (+0.44)
0-3 @ 3.12% (+0.25)
2-3 @ 2.96% (+0.15)
Other @ 5.34% (+0.65)
Total : 39%