Club Friendlies 3
Jul 18, 2026 3.00pm
Red Bull Arena

Red Bull Salzburg vs Mamelodi Sundowns - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Red Bull Salzburg

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 15, 2026 2.00pm
Salzburg 0 - 3 Gamba Osaka

Mamelodi Sundowns

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
May 29, 2026 7.00pm
Mamelodi Sundowns 3 - 1 RB Leipzig

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Bull Salzburg win with a probability of 40.28%. A win for Mamelodi Sundowns had a probability of 35.24% and a draw had a probability of 24.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Red Bull Salzburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.57%) and 2-0 (6.43%). The likeliest Mamelodi Sundowns win was 1-2 (8.26%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result

Red Bull Salzburg 40.28% (+0.07)
Draw 24.48% (-0.01)
Mamelodi Sundowns 35.24% (-0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.86% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.67% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 22.33% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 54.29% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 45.71% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 30.91%
Under 3.5 69.09%
Over 4.5 17.84%
Under 4.5 82.16%

First Half Winner

Red Bull Salzburg 30.62%
Draw 42% (+0.01)
Mamelodi Sundowns 27.38% (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Red Bull Salzburg 49.79% (+0.01)
No Goal 6.05% (-0.01)
Mamelodi Sundowns 44.16%

Corners

Over 8 56.58% (+0.02)
Equal 8 11.62%
Under 8 31.8% (-0.02)
Over 9 44.85% (+0.03)
Equal 9 11.73%
Under 9 43.42% (-0.02)
Over 10.5 33.99% (+0.02)
Under 10.5 66.01% (-0.01)

Red Bull Salzburg Goals

Over 1.5 41.41% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 58.59% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 17.43% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 82.57% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 6.18% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 93.82% (-0.03)

Mamelodi Sundowns Goals

Over 0.5 69.64% (-0.07)
Under 0.5 30.36% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 37.36% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 62.64% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 15.08% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 84.92% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 4.72% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 95.28% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Red Bull Salzburg 40.29%
Draw 24.48%
Mamelodi Sundowns 35.24%
Red Bull Salzburg
2-1 @ 9.07% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 8.57% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 6.43% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.93% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 3.17% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.97%
Other @ 6.15% (+0.03)
Total : 40.29%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.56%
0-0 @ 6.05% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.66% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.18%
Other @ 0.03%
Total : 24.48%
Mamelodi Sundowns
1-2 @ 8.26% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 7.72% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 5.39% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 3.48% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 2.88% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.82% (-0.02)
Other @ 4.69% (-0.01)
Total : 35.24%