Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mamelodi Sundowns win with a probability of 38.91%. A win for FAR Rabat had a probability of 31.98% and a draw had a probability of 29.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mamelodi Sundowns win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.04%) and 0-2 (6.44%). The likeliest FAR Rabat win was 1-0 (11.07%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood.