CAF Champions League

Stade Malien Bamako vs Mamelodi Sundowns - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Stade Malien Bamako

All competitions
CAF Champions League
Last game
Mar 13, 2026 6.00pm
Mamelodi Sundowns 3 - 0 Stade Malien Bamako

Mamelodi Sundowns

All competitions
CAF Champions League
Last game
Mar 13, 2026 6.00pm
Mamelodi Sundowns 3 - 0 Stade Malien Bamako

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Mamelodi Sundowns win with a probability of 44.45%. A win for Stade Malien Bamako has a probability of 28.68% and a draw has a probability of 26.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mamelodi Sundowns win is 0-1 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.4%) and 0-2 (8.33%). The likeliest Stade Malien Bamako win is 1-0 (9.34%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.4%).

Result

Stade Malien Bamako 28.68%
Draw 26.91%
Mamelodi Sundowns 44.45% (-0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.4% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 68.6% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 31.4% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 42.8% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 57.2% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 23.12% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 76.88% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 12.71% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 87.29% (+0.03)

First Half Winner

Stade Malien Bamako 25.74%
Draw 44.89%
Mamelodi Sundowns 29.38%

Team To Score First

Stade Malien Bamako 41.84%
No Goal 9.59%
Mamelodi Sundowns 48.57%

Corners

Over 8 40.36%
Equal 8 11.85%
Under 8 47.79%
Over 9 29.83%
Equal 9 10.52%
Under 9 59.64%
Over 10.5 21.2%
Under 10.5 78.8%

Stade Malien Bamako Goals

Over 1.5 26.56% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 73.44% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 8.72%
Under 2.5 91.28%
Over 3.5 2.71% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 97.29% (+0.02)

Mamelodi Sundowns Goals

Over 0.5 71.89% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 28.11% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 38.46% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 61.54% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 15.84% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 84.16% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 5.49% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 94.51% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Stade Malien Bamako 28.68%
Draw 26.92%
Mamelodi Sundowns 44.46%
Stade Malien Bamako
1-0 @ 9.34% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 6.21%
2-0 @ 5.05%
3-1 @ 2.29%
3-2 @ 1.6%
3-0 @ 1.49%
Other @ 2.7% (-0.01)
Total : 28.68%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.4% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 9.59%
2-2 @ 4.29%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 26.92%
Mamelodi Sundowns
0-1 @ 12.53%
1-2 @ 8.4%
0-2 @ 8.33%
1-3 @ 3.85%
0-3 @ 3.58%
2-3 @ 2.29% (-0.01)
Other @ 5.48% (-0.01)
Total : 44.46%

Head to Head

CAF Champions League
Mar 13, 2026 6.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Loftus Versfeld Stadium
  • Khuliso Mudau 34' goal
  • Brayan León 54' goal
  • Iqraam Rayners 64' yellowcard
  • Monnapule Saleng 64' yellowcard
  • Monnapule Saleng 65' yellowcard
  • Marcelo Allende 71' yellowcard
  • Iqraam Rayners 74' goal
  • Themba Zwane 77' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Abdoulaye Coulibaly 81'
  • yellowcard Dramane Traoré 81'
  • yellowcard Zoumana Simpara 87'