CAF Champions League Gameweek 5

Stade Malien Bamako vs Esperance Tunis - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Stade Malien Bamako

All competitions
CAF Champions League
Last game
Jan 31, 2026 4.00pm
Petro de Luanda 0 - 0 Stade Malien Bamako

Esperance Tunis

All competitions
CAF Champions League
Last game
Feb 1, 2026 1.00pm
Simba 0 - 0 ES Tunis

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Stade Malien Bamako win with a probability of 40.54%. A win for Esperance Tunis has a probability of 30.19% and a draw has a probability of 29.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stade Malien Bamako win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (7.44%) and 2-1 (7.42%). The likeliest Esperance Tunis win is 0-1 (10.38%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.61%).

Result

Stade Malien Bamako 40.54% (+0.08)
Draw 29.27% (-0.18)
Esperance Tunis 30.19% (+0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.24% (+0.13)

Goals

Over 1.5 64.9% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 35.1% (-0.11)
Over 2.5 39.81% (+0.17)
Under 2.5 60.19% (-0.17)
Over 3.5 21.32% (+0.13)
Under 3.5 78.68% (-0.10)
Over 4.5 11.62% (+0.09)
Under 4.5 88.38% (-0.10)

First Half Winner

Stade Malien Bamako 28.07% (-0.04)
Draw 49.32% (-0.08)
Esperance Tunis 22.61% (+0.11)

Team To Score First

Stade Malien Bamako 50% (+0.23)
No Goal 11.55% (-0.04)
Esperance Tunis 38.45% (-0.19)

Corners

Over 8 45.84% (-0.07)
Equal 8 11.94% (-0.01)
Under 8 42.22% (+0.08)
Over 9 34.77% (-0.04)
Equal 9 11.08% (-0.02)
Under 9 54.16% (+0.07)
Over 10.5 25.29% (-0.04)
Under 10.5 74.71% (+0.03)

Stade Malien Bamako Goals

Over 1.5 34.1% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 65.9% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 13.46% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 86.54% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 4.55% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 95.45% (-0.01)

Esperance Tunis Goals

Over 0.5 60.5% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 39.5% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 26.9% (+0.12)
Under 1.5 73.1% (-0.13)
Over 2.5 9.15% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 90.85% (-0.06)
Over 3.5 2.79% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 97.21% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Stade Malien Bamako 40.54%
Draw 29.27%
Esperance Tunis 30.18%
Stade Malien Bamako
1-0 @ 13.16%
2-0 @ 7.44%
2-1 @ 7.42%
3-1 @ 3.19% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 2.92% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 1.99% (+0.05)
Other @ 4.42% (+0.05)
Total : 40.54%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.61% (-0.07)
0-0 @ 11.55% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 4.17% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.13% (-0.03)
Total : 29.27%
Esperance Tunis
0-1 @ 10.38% (-0.07)
1-2 @ 6.55% (+0.05)
0-2 @ 5.04% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.34% (+0.05)
2-3 @ 1.61% (+0.04)
0-3 @ 1.6%
Other @ 2.66% (+0.05)
Total : 30.18%

Head to Head

CAF Champions League
Nov 22, 2025 4.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT