CAF Champions League Gameweek 4
Feb 1, 2026 1.00pm
Benjamin Mkapa National Stadium

Simba vs Esperance Tunis - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Simba

All competitions
CAF Champions League
Last game
Jan 24, 2026 4.00pm
ES Tunis 0 - 0 Simba

Esperance Tunis

All competitions
CAF Champions League
Last game
Jan 24, 2026 4.00pm
ES Tunis 0 - 0 Simba

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Simba win with a probability of 53%. A draw has a probability of 25.92% and a win for Esperance Tunis has a probability of 21.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Simba win is 1-0 with a probability of 14.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (11.06%) and 2-1 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.32%) , while for a Esperance Tunis win it is 0-1 (8.09%).

Result

Simba 53% (-0.50)
Draw 25.92% (+0.21)
Esperance Tunis 21.11% (+0.31)

Both Teams to Score: 

43.71% (-0.20)

Goals

Over 1.5 67.8% (-0.35)
Under 1.5 32.2% (+0.35)
Over 2.5 40.92% (-0.50)
Under 2.5 59.08% (+0.50)
Over 3.5 21.37% (-0.46)
Under 3.5 78.6% (+0.47)
Over 4.5 12.03% (-0.40)
Under 4.5 87.97% (+0.40)

First Half Winner

Simba 36.59%
Draw 46.24%
Esperance Tunis 17.17%

Team To Score First

Simba 60.32% (-0.08)
No Goal 9.51% (+0.12)
Esperance Tunis 30.17% (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 35.25%
Equal 8 11.07%
Under 8 53.68%
Over 9 25.82%
Equal 9 9.43%
Under 9 64.75%
Over 10.5 18.36%
Under 10.5 81.64%

Simba Goals

Over 1.5 43.55% (-0.61)
Under 1.5 56.45% (+0.61)
Over 2.5 19.2% (-0.57)
Under 2.5 80.8% (+0.57)
Over 3.5 7.16% (-0.34)
Under 3.5 92.84% (+0.33)

Esperance Tunis Goals

Over 0.5 52.42% (+0.24)
Under 0.5 47.58% (-0.24)
Over 1.5 19.19% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 80.81% (-0.10)
Over 2.5 5.04% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 94.96% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 1.27%
Under 3.5 98.73%

Score analysis

Simba 53.02%
Draw 25.93%
Esperance Tunis 21.11%
Simba
1-0 @ 14.66% (+0.10)
2-0 @ 11.06% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 8.56% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 5.26% (-0.09)
3-1 @ 4.26% (-0.09)
3-2 @ 2.07% (-0.05)
Other @ 7.15% (-0.34)
Total : 53.02%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.32% (+0.10)
0-0 @ 9.51% (+0.12)
2-2 @ 3.64% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 25.93%
Esperance Tunis
0-1 @ 8.09% (+0.13)
1-2 @ 4.96% (+0.06)
0-2 @ 3.48% (+0.07)
1-3 @ 1.45% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 1.26%
Total : 21.11%

Head to Head

CAF Champions League Gameweek 3
Jan 24, 2026 4.00pm
Hammadi Agrebi Stadium