CAF Champions League Gameweek 4
Feb 1, 2026 1.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 0
FT Benjamin Mkapa National Stadium
  • Shomari Kapombe 39' goal
  • Yusuph Kagoma 45' goal
  • Naby Camara 58' yellowcard
  • Ismaël Olivier Toure 62' yellowcard
  • Morice Abraham 74' yellowcard
  • Elie Mpanzu 74' yellowcard
  • Selemani Mwalimu Abdallah 74' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kouceila Boualia 46'
  • yellowcard Chiheb Jebali 49'
  • goal Aboubacar Diakité 64'
  • yellowcard Youssef Msakni 69'
  • yellowcard Florian Danho 69'
  • goal Kouceila Boualia 79'
  • yellowcard Mohamed Dräger 84'
  • yellowcard Hamza Jelassi 90'+4'

Simba vs Esperance Tunis - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Simba

All competitions
CAF Champions League
Last game
Jan 24, 2026 4.00pm
ES Tunis 1 - 0 Simba

Esperance Tunis

All competitions
CAF Champions League
Last game
Jan 24, 2026 4.00pm
ES Tunis 1 - 0 Simba

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Simba win with a probability of 52.66%. A draw has a probability of 25.9% and a win for Esperance Tunis has a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Simba win is 1-0 with a probability of 14.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.92%) and 2-1 (8.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.25%) , while for a Esperance Tunis win it is 0-1 (8.13%).

Result

Simba 52.66% ▼ (-0.35)
Draw 25.9% ▼ (-0.03)
Esperance Tunis 21.4% ▲ (+0.29)

Both Teams to Score: 

43.91% ▲ (+0.20)

Goals

Over 1.5 67.96% ▲ (+0.16)
Under 1.5 32.04% ▼ (-0.17)
Over 2.5 41.26% ▲ (+0.34)
Under 2.5 58.74% ▼ (-0.34)
Over 3.5 21.7% ▲ (+0.33)
Under 3.5 78.3% ▼ (-0.30)
Over 4.5 12.2% ▲ (+0.17)
Under 4.5 87.8% ▼ (-0.18)

First Half Winner

Simba 36.29% ▼ (-0.31)
Draw 46.25% ▲ (+0.01)
Esperance Tunis 17.47% ▲ (+0.30)

Team To Score First

Simba 59.4% ▼ (-0.93)
No Goal 9.44% ▼ (-0.08)
Esperance Tunis 31.16% ▲ (+0.99)

Corners

Over 8 35.86% ▲ (+0.61)
Equal 8 11.12% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 8 53.03% ▼ (-0.65)
Over 9 26.34% ▲ (+0.52)
Equal 9 9.52% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 9 64.14% ▼ (-0.61)
Over 10.5 18.78% ▲ (+0.43)
Under 10.5 81.22% ▼ (-0.43)

Simba Goals

Over 1.5 43.56% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 56.44% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 19.3% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 2.5 80.7% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 3.5 7.21% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 3.5 92.79% ▼ (-0.05)

Esperance Tunis Goals

Over 0.5 52.73% ▲ (+0.31)
Under 0.5 47.27% ▼ (-0.31)
Over 1.5 19.58% ▲ (+0.39)
Under 1.5 80.42% ▼ (-0.40)
Over 2.5 5.2% ▲ (+0.17)
Under 2.5 94.8% ▼ (-0.16)
Over 3.5 1.31% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 3.5 98.69% ▼ (-0.05)

Score analysis

Simba 52.67%
Draw 25.91%
Esperance Tunis 21.4%
Simba
1-0 @ 14.45% ▼ (-0.22)
2-0 @ 10.92% ▼ (-0.15)
2-1 @ 8.49% ▼ (-0.08)
3-0 @ 5.24% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 4.28% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.09% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 7.2% ▲ (+0.05)
Total : 52.67%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.25% ▼ (-0.08)
0-0 @ 9.44% ▼ (-0.08)
2-2 @ 3.73% ▲ (+0.09)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 25.91%
Esperance Tunis
0-1 @ 8.13% ▲ (+0.05)
1-2 @ 5.03% ▲ (+0.08)
0-2 @ 3.53% ▲ (+0.05)
1-3 @ 1.5% ▲ (+0.06)
2-3 @ 1.12% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 1.3% ▲ (+0.05)
Total : 21.4%

Head to Head

CAF Champions League
Jan 24, 2026 4.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Hammadi Agrebi Stadium
  • Jack Diarra 21' goal
  • Kouceila Boualia 64' yellowcard
  • Florian Danho 64' yellowcard
  • Chiheb Jebali 79' yellowcard
  • Hamza Rafia 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Clatous Chama 46'
  • yellowcard Libasse Guèye 46'
  • yellowcard Selemani Mwalimu Abdallah 71'
  • yellowcard Neo Maema 82'
  • yellowcard Vedastus Paul Masinde 82'