CAF Champions League Gameweek 4
Feb 1, 2026 1.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 0
FT Benjamin Mkapa National Stadium
  • Shomari Kapombe 39' goal
  • Yusuph Kagoma 45' goal
  • Naby Camara 58' yellowcard
  • Ismaël Olivier Toure 62' yellowcard
  • Morice Abraham 74' yellowcard
  • Elie Mpanzu 74' yellowcard
  • Selemani Mwalimu Abdallah 74' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kouceila Boualia 46'
  • yellowcard Chiheb Jebali 49'
  • goal Aboubacar Diakité 64'
  • yellowcard Youssef Msakni 69'
  • yellowcard Florian Danho 69'
  • goal Kouceila Boualia 79'
  • yellowcard Mohamed Dräger 84'
  • yellowcard Hamza Jelassi 90'+4'

Simba vs Esperance Tunis - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Simba

All competitions
CAF Champions League
Last game
Jan 24, 2026 4.00pm
ES Tunis 1 - 0 Simba

Esperance Tunis

All competitions
CAF Champions League
Last game
Jan 24, 2026 4.00pm
ES Tunis 1 - 0 Simba

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Simba win with a probability of 52.66%. A draw has a probability of 25.9% and a win for Esperance Tunis has a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Simba win is 1-0 with a probability of 14.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.92%) and 2-1 (8.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.25%) , while for a Esperance Tunis win it is 0-1 (8.13%).

Result

Simba 52.66% (-0.35)
Draw 25.9% (-0.03)
Esperance Tunis 21.4% (+0.29)

Both Teams to Score: 

43.91% (+0.20)

Goals

Over 1.5 67.96% (+0.16)
Under 1.5 32.04% (-0.17)
Over 2.5 41.26% (+0.34)
Under 2.5 58.74% (-0.34)
Over 3.5 21.7% (+0.33)
Under 3.5 78.3% (-0.30)
Over 4.5 12.2% (+0.17)
Under 4.5 87.8% (-0.18)

First Half Winner

Simba 36.29% (-0.31)
Draw 46.25% (+0.01)
Esperance Tunis 17.47% (+0.30)

Team To Score First

Simba 59.4% (-0.93)
No Goal 9.44% (-0.08)
Esperance Tunis 31.16% (+0.99)

Corners

Over 8 35.86% (+0.61)
Equal 8 11.12% (+0.05)
Under 8 53.03% (-0.65)
Over 9 26.34% (+0.52)
Equal 9 9.52% (+0.09)
Under 9 64.14% (-0.61)
Over 10.5 18.78% (+0.43)
Under 10.5 81.22% (-0.43)

Simba Goals

Over 1.5 43.56% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 56.44% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 19.3% (+0.11)
Under 2.5 80.7% (-0.10)
Over 3.5 7.21% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 92.79% (-0.05)

Esperance Tunis Goals

Over 0.5 52.73% (+0.31)
Under 0.5 47.27% (-0.31)
Over 1.5 19.58% (+0.39)
Under 1.5 80.42% (-0.40)
Over 2.5 5.2% (+0.17)
Under 2.5 94.8% (-0.16)
Over 3.5 1.31% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 98.69% (-0.05)

Score analysis

Simba 52.67%
Draw 25.91%
Esperance Tunis 21.4%
Simba
1-0 @ 14.45% (-0.22)
2-0 @ 10.92% (-0.15)
2-1 @ 8.49% (-0.08)
3-0 @ 5.24% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 4.28% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.09% (+0.03)
Other @ 7.2% (+0.05)
Total : 52.67%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.25% (-0.08)
0-0 @ 9.44% (-0.08)
2-2 @ 3.73% (+0.09)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 25.91%
Esperance Tunis
0-1 @ 8.13% (+0.05)
1-2 @ 5.03% (+0.08)
0-2 @ 3.53% (+0.05)
1-3 @ 1.5% (+0.06)
2-3 @ 1.12% (+0.04)
Other @ 1.3% (+0.05)
Total : 21.4%

Head to Head

CAF Champions League
Jan 24, 2026 4.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Hammadi Agrebi Stadium
  • Jack Diarra 21' goal
  • Kouceila Boualia 64' yellowcard
  • Florian Danho 64' yellowcard
  • Chiheb Jebali 79' yellowcard
  • Hamza Rafia 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Clatous Chama 46'
  • yellowcard Libasse Guèye 46'
  • yellowcard Selemani Mwalimu Abdallah 71'
  • yellowcard Neo Maema 82'
  • yellowcard Vedastus Paul Masinde 82'