CAF Champions League
Jan 24, 2026 4.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Hammadi Agrebi Stadium
  • Jack Diarra 21' goal
  • Kouceila Boualia 64' yellowcard
  • Florian Danho 64' yellowcard
  • Chiheb Jebali 79' yellowcard
  • Hamza Rafia 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Clatous Chama 46'
  • yellowcard Libasse Guèye 46'
  • yellowcard Selemani Mwalimu Abdallah 71'
  • yellowcard Neo Maema 82'
  • yellowcard Vedastus Paul Masinde 82'

Esperance Tunis vs Simba - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Esperance Tunis

All competitions
CAF Champions League
Last game
Nov 28, 2025 4.00pm
Petro de Luanda 0 - 0 ES Tunis

Simba

All competitions
CAF Champions League
Last game
Nov 28, 2025 4.00pm
Stade Malien Bamako 0 - 0 Simba

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Esperance Tunis win with a probability of 55.05%. A draw has a probability of 24.62% and a win for Simba has a probability of 20.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Esperance Tunis win is 1-0 with a probability of 14.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (11.43%) and 2-1 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.8%) , while for a Simba win it is 0-1 (7.83%).

Result

Esperance Tunis 55.05% ▼ (-0.81)
Draw 24.62% ▲ (+0.22)
Simba 20.29% ▲ (+0.52)

Both Teams to Score: 

42.51% ▲ (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 68.53% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 31.47% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 41.99% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 58.01% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 21.26% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 3.5 78.74% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 4.5 12.03% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 4.5 87.97% ▲ (+0.10)

First Half Winner

Esperance Tunis 42.5% ▼ (-0.76)
Draw 38.72% ▲ (+0.59)
Simba 18.79% ▲ (+0.18)

Team To Score First

Esperance Tunis 60.35% ▼ (-0.79)
No Goal 9.03% ▲ (+0.03)
Simba 30.62% ▲ (+0.75)

Corners

Over 8 41.76% ▲ (+1.00)
Equal 8 10.94% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 8 47.3% ▼ (-1.09)
Over 9 31.89% ▲ (+0.86)
Equal 9 9.87% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 9 58.24% ▼ (-1.00)
Over 10.5 23.64% ▲ (+0.68)
Under 10.5 76.36% ▼ (-0.68)

Esperance Tunis Goals

Over 1.5 45.17% ▼ (-0.44)
Under 1.5 54.83% ▲ (+0.44)
Over 2.5 20.42% ▼ (-0.47)
Under 2.5 79.58% ▲ (+0.47)
Over 3.5 7.64% ▼ (-0.21)
Under 3.5 92.36% ▲ (+0.21)

Simba Goals

Over 0.5 51.5% ▲ (+0.50)
Under 0.5 48.5% ▼ (-0.50)
Over 1.5 18.34% ▲ (+0.54)
Under 1.5 81.66% ▼ (-0.55)
Over 2.5 4.41% ▲ (+0.37)
Under 2.5 95.59% ▼ (-0.36)
Over 3.5 1.08% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 3.5 98.92% ▼ (-0.07)

Score analysis

Esperance Tunis 55.06%
Draw 24.63%
Simba 20.29%
Esperance Tunis
1-0 @ 14.59% ▼ (-0.11)
2-0 @ 11.43% ▼ (-0.14)
2-1 @ 8.97%
3-0 @ 5.8% ▼ (-0.15)
3-1 @ 4.56% ▼ (-0.12)
3-2 @ 2.08% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 7.63% ▼ (-0.21)
Total : 55.06%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.8% ▲ (+0.03)
0-0 @ 9.03% ▲ (+0.03)
2-2 @ 3.45% ▲ (+0.10)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 24.63%
Simba
0-1 @ 7.83% ▲ (+0.05)
1-2 @ 5.11% ▲ (+0.16)
0-2 @ 3.29% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 1.23% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 1.07% ▲ (+0.07)
Total : 20.29%