CAF Champions League
Mar 13, 2026 6.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Loftus Versfeld Stadium
  • Khuliso Mudau 34' goal
  • Brayan León 54' goal
  • Iqraam Rayners 64' yellowcard
  • Monnapule Saleng 64' yellowcard
  • Monnapule Saleng 65' yellowcard
  • Marcelo Allende 71' yellowcard
  • Iqraam Rayners 74' goal
  • Themba Zwane 77' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Abdoulaye Coulibaly 81'
  • yellowcard Dramane Traoré 81'
  • yellowcard Zoumana Simpara 87'

Mamelodi Sundowns vs Stade Malien Bamako - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Mamelodi Sundowns

All competitions

Stade Malien Bamako

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mamelodi Sundowns win with a probability of 65.47%. A draw had a probability of 22.69% and a win for Stade Malien Bamako had a probability of 11.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mamelodi Sundowns win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.16%) and 3-0 (8.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (10.36%) , while for a Stade Malien Bamako win it was 0-1 (5.56%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.

Result

Mamelodi Sundowns 65.47% (+0.04)
Draw 22.69%
Stade Malien Bamako 11.81% (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

35.93% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 66.54%
Under 1.5 33.46%
Over 2.5 39.83% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 60.17% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 19.62%
Under 3.5 80.38%
Over 4.5 12.53%
Under 4.5 87.47%

First Half Winner

Mamelodi Sundowns 44.15%
Draw 38.63%
Stade Malien Bamako 17.22%

Team To Score First

Mamelodi Sundowns 61.62%
No Goal 10.36%
Stade Malien Bamako 28.02%

Corners

Over 8 39.84% (+0.02)
Equal 8 11.34%
Under 8 48.83%
Over 9 29.79% (+0.01)
Equal 9 10.04%
Under 9 60.16% (-0.02)
Over 10.5 21.55%
Under 10.5 78.45%

Mamelodi Sundowns Goals

Over 1.5 50.89% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 49.11% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 24.76% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 75.24% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 10.25%
Under 3.5 89.75%

Stade Malien Bamako Goals

Over 0.5 38.01% (-0.06)
Under 0.5 61.99% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 10.03% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 89.97% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 1.96%
Under 2.5 98.04%
Over 3.5 0.38%
Under 3.5 99.62%

Score analysis

Mamelodi Sundowns 65.47%
Draw 22.7%
Stade Malien Bamako 11.81%
Mamelodi Sundowns
1-0 @ 17.52%
2-0 @ 15.16% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 8.69% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 8.25% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 4.34%
3-2 @ 1.27%
Other @ 10.24%
Total : 65.47%
Draw
0-0 @ 10.36%
1-1 @ 9.83% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 2.29%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 22.7%
Stade Malien Bamako
0-1 @ 5.56% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 2.8% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 1.71%
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 11.81%