Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mamelodi Sundowns win with a probability of 57.72%. A draw had a probability of 26.34% and a win for Esperance Tunis had a probability of 15.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mamelodi Sundowns win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.8%) and 2-1 (8.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.97%) , while for a Esperance Tunis win it was 0-1 (6.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.2% likelihood.