Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Esperance Tunis win with a probability of 43.62%. A win for Al Ahly had a probability of 28.81% and a draw had a probability of 27.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Esperance Tunis win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (8.22%). The likeliest Al Ahly win was 0-1 (9.97%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.