CAF Champions League
Apr 12, 2026 8.00pm
Hammadi Agrebi Stadium

Esperance Tunis vs Mamelodi Sundowns - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Esperance Tunis

All competitions

Mamelodi Sundowns

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Esperance Tunis win with a probability of 43.34%. A win for Mamelodi Sundowns has a probability of 29.36% and a draw has a probability of 27.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Esperance Tunis win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (8.2%). The likeliest Mamelodi Sundowns win is 0-1 (9.33%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.2%).

Result

Esperance Tunis 43.34% (+0.06)
Draw 27.29% (+0.03)
Mamelodi Sundowns 29.36% (-0.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.81% (-0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 69.14% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 30.86% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 42.8% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 57.2% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 21.96% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 78.04% (+0.08)
Over 4.5 11.57% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 88.43% (+0.05)

First Half Winner

Esperance Tunis 36.34%
Draw 40.71%
Mamelodi Sundowns 22.95%

Team To Score First

Esperance Tunis 52.64% (-0.01)
No Goal 9.02% (+0.02)
Mamelodi Sundowns 38.34% (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 39.78% (-0.25)
Equal 8 12.1% (-0.02)
Under 8 48.12% (+0.27)
Over 9 29.1% (-0.21)
Equal 9 10.68% (-0.05)
Under 9 60.22% (+0.25)
Over 10.5 20.42% (-0.15)
Under 10.5 79.58% (+0.15)

Esperance Tunis Goals

Over 1.5 37.52% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 62.48% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 14.56% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 85.44% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 4.78%
Under 3.5 95.22%

Mamelodi Sundowns Goals

Over 0.5 61.95% (-0.06)
Under 0.5 38.05% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 27.08% (-0.10)
Under 1.5 72.92% (+0.10)
Over 2.5 9.08% (-0.07)
Under 2.5 90.92% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 2.55% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 97.45% (+0.04)

Score analysis

Esperance Tunis 43.35%
Draw 27.29%
Mamelodi Sundowns 29.37%
Esperance Tunis
1-0 @ 12.52% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 8.74% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 8.2% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 3.6%
3-0 @ 3.55% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 1.97%
Other @ 4.77%
Total : 43.35%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.2% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 9.02% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.4% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 27.29%
Mamelodi Sundowns
0-1 @ 9.33%
1-2 @ 6.7%
0-2 @ 4.93% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 2.4% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.85%
2-3 @ 1.62% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.54% (-0.03)
Total : 29.37%

Head to Head

CAF Champions League
Apr 8, 2025 8.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stade olympique Hammadi Agrebi
  • Achref Jebri 63' goal
  • Onuche Ogbelu 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Grant Kekana 49'
  • yellowcard Peter Shalulile 56'
  • yellowcard Lucas Ribeiro Costa 58'
  • yellowcard Ronwen Williams 81'
CAF Champions League
Apr 1, 2025 2.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Loftus Versfeld Stadium
  • Teboho Mokoena 22' yellowcard
  • Peter Shalulile 54' goal
  • 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Elias Mokwana 66'
  • yellowcard Youcef Belaili 90'+3'