CAF Champions League
Apr 12, 2026 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Hammadi Agrebi Stadium
  • Aboubacar Diakité 63' yellowcard
  • Jack Diarra 63' yellowcard
  • Jack Diarra 64' yellowcard
  • Moez Ben Haj Ali 81' yellowcard
  • Achref Jabri 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Brayan León 51'
  • yellowcard Tashreeq Matthews 73'
  • yellowcard Bathusi Aubaas 76'
  • yellowcard Zuko Mdunyelwa 88'
  • yellowcard Khulumani Ndamane 88'

Esperance Tunis vs Mamelodi Sundowns - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Esperance Tunis

All competitions

Mamelodi Sundowns

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Esperance Tunis win with a probability of 43.37%. A win for Mamelodi Sundowns had a probability of 29.34% and a draw had a probability of 27.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Esperance Tunis win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (8.18%). The likeliest Mamelodi Sundowns win was 0-1 (9.31%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.

Result

Esperance Tunis 43.37% (+0.03)
Draw 27.29%
Mamelodi Sundowns 29.34% (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.81%

Goals

Over 1.5 69.17% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 30.83% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 42.87% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 57.13% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 22% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 78% (-0.05)
Over 4.5 11.59% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 88.41% (-0.03)

First Half Winner

Esperance Tunis 36.34%
Draw 40.71%
Mamelodi Sundowns 22.95%

Team To Score First

Esperance Tunis 52.65% (+0.01)
No Goal 9% (-0.02)
Mamelodi Sundowns 38.35% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 39.52% (-0.26)
Equal 8 12.05% (-0.05)
Under 8 48.43% (+0.32)
Over 9 28.91% (-0.20)
Equal 9 10.61% (-0.08)
Under 9 60.48% (+0.26)
Over 10.5 20.29% (-0.14)
Under 10.5 79.71% (+0.13)

Esperance Tunis Goals

Over 1.5 37.56% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 62.44% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 14.61% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 85.39% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 4.78%
Under 3.5 95.22%

Mamelodi Sundowns Goals

Over 0.5 61.95%
Under 0.5 38.05%
Over 1.5 27.09% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 72.91% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 9.1% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 90.9% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 2.56% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 97.44% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Esperance Tunis 43.38%
Draw 27.29%
Mamelodi Sundowns 29.34%
Esperance Tunis
1-0 @ 12.53% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 8.74%
2-0 @ 8.18% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 3.61% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.58% (+0.04)
3-2 @ 1.97%
Other @ 4.77%
Total : 43.38%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.2%
0-0 @ 9% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.41% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 27.29%
Mamelodi Sundowns
0-1 @ 9.31% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 6.7%
0-2 @ 4.91% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.4%
0-3 @ 1.85%
2-3 @ 1.62%
Other @ 2.55% (+0.01)
Total : 29.34%

Head to Head

CAF Champions League
Apr 8, 2025 8.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stade olympique Hammadi Agrebi
  • Achref Jebri 63' goal
  • Onuche Ogbelu 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Grant Kekana 49'
  • yellowcard Peter Shalulile 56'
  • yellowcard Lucas Ribeiro Costa 58'
  • yellowcard Ronwen Williams 81'
CAF Champions League
Apr 1, 2025 2.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Loftus Versfeld Stadium
  • Teboho Mokoena 22' yellowcard
  • Peter Shalulile 54' goal
  • 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Elias Mokwana 66'
  • yellowcard Youcef Belaili 90'+3'