Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Esperance Tunis win with a probability of 43.37%. A win for Mamelodi Sundowns had a probability of 29.34% and a draw had a probability of 27.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Esperance Tunis win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (8.18%). The likeliest Mamelodi Sundowns win was 0-1 (9.31%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.