Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Navbahor win with a probability of 45.75%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Dinamo Tbilisi had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Navbahor win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.61%) , while for a Dinamo Tbilisi win it was 0-1 (8.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.