Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dinamo Tbilisi win with a probability of 44.33%. A win for Shturmi had a probability of 28.23% and a draw had a probability of 27.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dinamo Tbilisi win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Shturmi win was 0-1 (7.98%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.