Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dinamo Tbilisi win with a probability of 54.27%. A draw had a probability of 24.94% and a win for Samgurali had a probability of 20.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dinamo Tbilisi win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 2-0 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.64%) , while for a Samgurali win it was 0-1 (6.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.