Club Friendlies 3
Jul 17, 2026 7.00pm
Fir Park

Motherwell vs Genk - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Motherwell

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 5, 2026 1.00pm
Aarhus 4 - 0 Motherwell

Genk

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 11, 2026 11.00am
Sittard 2 - 1 Genk

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Motherwell win with a probability of 37.06%. A win for Genk has a probability of 37.03% and a draw has a probability of 25.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win is 1-0 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (5.9%). The likeliest Genk win is 0-1 (8.44%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.34%).

Result

Motherwell 37.06% (+0.06)
Draw 25.91% (-0.04)
Genk 37.03% (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.74%

Goals

Over 1.5 76.25% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 23.75% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 52.4%
Under 2.5 47.6%
Over 3.5 30.15%
Under 3.5 69.85%
Over 4.5 16.9% (-0.03)
Under 4.5 83.1% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Motherwell 30.11%
Draw 39.82%
Genk 30.07%

Team To Score First

Motherwell 45% (+0.01)
No Goal 6.66% (-0.01)
Genk 48.34%

Corners

Over 8 45.26%
Equal 8 12.36%
Under 8 42.39% (+0.01)
Over 9 33.85%
Equal 9 11.41%
Under 9 54.74%
Over 10.5 24.17%
Under 10.5 75.83%

Motherwell Goals

Over 1.5 38.09% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 61.91% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 15.21% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 84.79% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 5.09%
Under 3.5 94.91%

Genk Goals

Over 0.5 71.06% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 28.94% (+0.05)
Over 1.5 37.96% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 62.04% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 15.77% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 84.23% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 5.49% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 94.51% (+0.03)

Score analysis

Motherwell 37.07%
Draw 25.9%
Genk 37.02%
Motherwell
1-0 @ 8.64% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 8.52%
2-0 @ 5.9% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 3.8%
3-0 @ 2.7% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.48% (+0.01)
Other @ 5.03% (+0.02)
Total : 37.07%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.34%
0-0 @ 6.66% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.7%
3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.06% (-0.02)
Total : 25.9%
Genk
0-1 @ 8.44%
1-2 @ 8.39%
0-2 @ 5.62%
1-3 @ 3.74%
2-3 @ 2.76% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 2.64% (-0.01)
Other @ 5.43% (-0.02)
Total : 37.02%