Club Friendlies 3
Jul 17, 2026 7.00pm
3
4
HT : 1 2
FT Fir Park
  • Elijah Just 28' goal
  • Mikey Booth 76' goal
  • Robbie Hunter 85' goal
  • goal Aaron Bibout 32'
  • goal Daan Heymans 44'
  • goal Aaron Bibout 49'
  • goal Brad Manguelle 79'

Motherwell vs Genk - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Motherwell

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 5, 2026 1.00pm
Aarhus 4 - 0 Motherwell

Genk

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 11, 2026 11.00am
Sittard 2 - 1 Genk

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 37.18%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 36.87% and a draw had a probability of 25.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.42%) and 0-2 (5.63%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 1-0 (8.57%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%).

Result

Motherwell 36.87% (-0.20)
Draw 25.95% (+0.04)
Genk 37.18% (+0.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.89% (+0.15)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.38% (+0.13)
Under 1.5 23.62% (-0.13)
Over 2.5 52.58% (+0.18)
Under 2.5 47.42% (-0.18)
Over 3.5 30.33% (+0.18)
Under 3.5 69.67% (-0.18)
Over 4.5 17.03% (+0.14)
Under 4.5 82.97% (-0.13)

First Half Winner

Motherwell 30.03% (-0.08)
Draw 39.82%
Genk 30.15% (+0.08)

Team To Score First

Motherwell 45.09% (+0.10)
No Goal 6.63% (-0.04)
Genk 48.28% (-0.07)

Corners

Over 8 45.16% (-0.11)
Equal 8 12.36%
Under 8 42.48% (+0.09)
Over 9 33.75% (-0.11)
Equal 9 11.4% (-0.01)
Under 9 54.84% (+0.11)
Over 10.5 24.09% (-0.09)
Under 10.5 75.91% (+0.08)

Motherwell Goals

Over 1.5 38.06% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 61.94% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 15.22% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 84.78% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 5.1% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 94.9% (-0.01)

Genk Goals

Over 0.5 71.29% (+0.24)
Under 0.5 28.71% (-0.24)
Over 1.5 38.24% (+0.29)
Under 1.5 61.76% (-0.29)
Over 2.5 15.98% (+0.22)
Under 2.5 84.02% (-0.22)
Over 3.5 5.59% (+0.10)
Under 3.5 94.41% (-0.11)

Score analysis

Motherwell 36.86%
Draw 25.95%
Genk 37.2%
Motherwell
1-0 @ 8.57% (-0.08)
2-1 @ 8.49% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 5.84% (-0.07)
3-1 @ 3.8%
3-0 @ 2.67% (-0.04)
3-2 @ 2.48%
Other @ 5.01% (-0.03)
Total : 36.86%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.33% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 6.63% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 5.73% (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1.17% (+0.04)
Other @ 0.09% (+0.03)
Total : 25.95%
Genk
0-1 @ 8.43% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 8.42% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 5.63% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.78% (+0.04)
2-3 @ 2.78% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 2.66% (+0.03)
Other @ 5.5% (+0.08)
Total : 37.2%