Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 43.23%. A win for Gent had a probability of 31.38% and a draw had a probability of 25.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.24%) and 0-2 (6.83%). The likeliest Gent win was 1-0 (7.67%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.