Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 39.02%. A win for FC Midtjylland had a probability of 35.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.61%) and 2-0 (5.89%). The likeliest FC Midtjylland win was 1-2 (8.54%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.