Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 38.52%. A win for Mjallby AIF had a probability of 36.24% and a draw had a probability of 25.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.25%) and 2-0 (5.97%). The likeliest Mjallby AIF win was 1-2 (8.07%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.