Club Friendlies 3
Feb 19, 2026 12.00am
Sarpsborg Stadion

Sarpsborg 08 vs FC Midtjylland - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Sarpsborg 08

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Feb 13, 2026 10.00am
HamKam 2 - 3 Sarpsborg

FC Midtjylland

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jan 15, 2026 5.00pm
Midtjylland 3 - 0 Kryvbas Kryvyi

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a FC Midtjylland win with a probability of 51.01%. A win for Sarpsborg 08 has a probability of 25.63% and a draw has a probability of 23.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Midtjylland win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (7.62%) and 0-2 (6.59%). The likeliest Sarpsborg 08 win is 2-1 (6.28%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.13%).

Result

Sarpsborg 08 25.63% (-1.02)
Draw 23.36% (-0.22)
FC Midtjylland 51.01% (+1.23)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.18% (-0.71)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.97% (-0.41)
Under 1.5 18.03% (+0.41)
Over 2.5 61.87%
Under 2.5 38.13%
Over 3.5 39.56% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 60.44% (+0.01)
Over 4.5 24.71% (+0.06)
Under 4.5 75.29% (-0.05)

First Half Winner

Sarpsborg 08 24.46% (-1.04)
Draw 39% (+0.75)
FC Midtjylland 36.54% (+0.29)

Team To Score First

Sarpsborg 08 38.07% (-1.14)
No Goal 5.16% (+0.32)
FC Midtjylland 56.77% (+0.83)

Corners

Over 8 66.03% (-0.49)
Equal 8 10.4% (+0.04)
Under 8 23.57% (+0.45)
Over 9 54.71% (-0.47)
Equal 9 11.32% (-0.01)
Under 9 33.97% (+0.48)
Over 10.5 43.42% (-0.41)
Under 10.5 56.58% (+0.41)

Sarpsborg 08 Goals

Over 1.5 32.31% (-1.29)
Under 1.5 67.69% (+1.29)
Over 2.5 12.72% (-0.72)
Under 2.5 87.28% (+0.72)
Over 3.5 4.02% (-0.25)
Under 3.5 95.98% (+0.25)

FC Midtjylland Goals

Over 0.5 80.9% (+0.32)
Under 0.5 19.1% (-0.31)
Over 1.5 54.16% (+0.61)
Under 1.5 45.84% (-0.61)
Over 2.5 28.88% (+0.77)
Under 2.5 71.12% (-0.77)
Over 3.5 12.86% (+0.59)
Under 3.5 87.14% (-0.58)

Score analysis

Sarpsborg 08 25.63%
Draw 23.36%
FC Midtjylland 51.01%
Sarpsborg 08
2-1 @ 6.28% (-0.21)
1-0 @ 5.25% (-0.13)
2-0 @ 3.37% (-0.13)
3-1 @ 2.71% (-0.15)
3-2 @ 2.7% (-0.06)
3-0 @ 1.66% (-0.13)
Other @ 3.66% (-0.24)
Total : 25.63%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.13% (-0.18)
2-2 @ 6.08% (-0.17)
0-0 @ 5.16% (+0.32)
3-3 @ 1.63% (-0.17)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 23.36%
FC Midtjylland
1-2 @ 9.91% (+0.17)
0-1 @ 7.62% (+0.22)
0-2 @ 6.59% (-0.11)
1-3 @ 6.07% (+0.27)
0-3 @ 4.46% (+0.17)
2-3 @ 3.86% (-0.08)
Other @ 12.5% (+0.59)
Total : 51.01%