Club Friendlies 3
Feb 6, 2026 2.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT Sarpsborg Stadion
  • Michael Opoku 37' goal
  • M. Opoku 37' goal
  • Martin Haheim-Elveseter 57' goal
  • Martin Håheim-Elveseter 57' goal
  • Niklas Sandberg 73' goal
  • goal Robert Marcus 31'

Sarpsborg 08 vs Moss - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Sarpsborg 08

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Feb 6, 2026 12.00am
Sarpsborg 0 - 0 Oddevold

Moss

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jan 31, 2026 10.15am
Strømmen 2 - 0 Moss

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sarpsborg 08 win with a probability of 58.38%. A draw had a probability of 21.82% and a win for Moss had a probability of 19.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sarpsborg 08 win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.93%) , while for a Moss win it was 1-2 (5.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result

Sarpsborg 08 58.38% ▲ (+0.02)
Draw 21.82% ▼ (-0.02)
Moss 19.8% ▲ (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.71% ▲ (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.82% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 19.18% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 59.51% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 40.44% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 3.5 37.14% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 62.86% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 4.5 23.73% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 4.5 76.27% ▲ (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Sarpsborg 08 41.95% ▲ (+0.14)
Draw 38.08% ▼ (-0.04)
Moss 19.98% ▼ (-0.09)

Team To Score First

Sarpsborg 08 65.8% ▲ (+0.24)
No Goal 4.83%
Moss 29.37% ▼ (-0.24)

Corners

Over 8 65.35% ▲ (+0.07)
Equal 8 10.57% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 8 24.08% ▼ (-0.09)
Over 9 53.89% ▲ (+0.04)
Equal 9 11.45% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 9 34.65% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 10.5 42.54% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 10.5 57.46% ▼ (-0.02)

Sarpsborg 08 Goals

Over 1.5 57.68% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 42.32% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 31.81% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 68.19% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 14.07% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 85.93% ▲ (+0.03)

Moss Goals

Over 0.5 56.92% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 0.5 43.08% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 1.5 26.06% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 73.94% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 2.5 8.65%
Under 2.5 91.35%
Over 3.5 2.45%
Under 3.5 97.55%

Score analysis

Sarpsborg 08 58.38%
Draw 21.82%
Moss 19.8%
Sarpsborg 08
2-1 @ 10.04% ▼ (-0.02)
1-0 @ 9.58% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 8.59% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 6.12%
3-1 @ 6.12%
3-2 @ 3.97%
Other @ 13.96% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 58.38%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.93%
2-2 @ 5.42% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.83%
3-3 @ 1.53% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 21.82%
Moss
1-2 @ 5.23% ▲ (+0.02)
0-1 @ 4.77%
0-2 @ 2.79% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.88% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.82% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 19.8%