Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sarpsborg 08 win with a probability of 58.38%. A draw had a probability of 21.82% and a win for Moss had a probability of 19.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sarpsborg 08 win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.93%) , while for a Moss win it was 1-2 (5.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.