Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HamKam win with a probability of 40.84%. A win for Sarpsborg 08 had a probability of 34.89% and a draw had a probability of 24.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a HamKam win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.47%) and 3-1 (4.77%). The likeliest Sarpsborg 08 win was 1-2 (7.37%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.