Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kongsvinger win with a probability of 42.43%. A win for HamKam had a probability of 33.75% and a draw had a probability of 23.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kongsvinger win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.14%) and 0-2 (5.68%). The likeliest HamKam win was 2-1 (7.14%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.