Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 37.8%. A win for Hacken had a probability of 35.79% and a draw had a probability of 26.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (6.17%). The likeliest Hacken win was 1-0 (8.32%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.