Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Midtjylland win with a probability of 45.07%. A win for Lillestrom had a probability of 30.86% and a draw had a probability of 24.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Midtjylland win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.04%) and 2-0 (6.29%). The likeliest Lillestrom win was 1-2 (7.83%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.