Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosenborg win with a probability of 42.7%. A win for Lillestrom had a probability of 33.38% and a draw had a probability of 23.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rosenborg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.7%) and 2-0 (5.88%). The likeliest Lillestrom win was 1-2 (8.1%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.