Norwegian Eliteserien
Lillestrom
May 3, 2026 1.30pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT Åråsen Stadion
Sarpsborg
  • Markus Karlsbakk 4' yellowcard
  • Gustav Nyheim 11' goal
  • Camil Jebara 69' yellowcard
  • Camil Jebara 76' goal
  • Yaw Paintsil 81' yellowcard
  • Harald Woxen 81' yellowcard
  • Salieu Drammeh 90' yellowcard
  • Salieu Drammeh 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Linus Alperud 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Andreas Hansen 60'
  • yellowcard Noa Williams 60'
  • yellowcard Bop Guèye 80'
  • yellowcard Claus Niyukuri 80'
  • yellowcard Magnar Odegaard 80'
  • yellowcard Mathias Svenningsen-Grønn 80'

Lillestrom vs Sarpsborg 08 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Lillestrom

All competitions
Norwegian Eliteserien
Last game
Apr 26, 2026 6.15pm
Lillestrom 0 - 2 Bodo/Glimt
Goals scored
13
Top scorer
Thomas Lehne Olsen

Sarpsborg 08

All competitions
Norwegian Eliteserien
Last game
Apr 26, 2026 4.00pm
KFUM 1 - 0 Sarpsborg
Goals scored
5
Top scorer
Sander Christiansen

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lillestrom win with a probability of 44.52%. A win for Sarpsborg 08 had a probability of 33.99% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lillestrom win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.45%) and 1-0 (5.42%). The likeliest Sarpsborg 08 win was 1-2 (7.26%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.63%).

Result

Lillestrom 44.52% ▼ (-0.23)
Draw 21.5% ▲ (+0.18)
Sarpsborg 08 33.99% ▲ (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

66.8% ▼ (-0.68)

Goals

Over 1.5 86.44% ▼ (-0.54)
Under 1.5 13.56% ▲ (+0.54)
Over 2.5 68.63% ▼ (-0.86)
Under 2.5 31.37% ▲ (+0.91)
Over 3.5 47.36% ▼ (-1.00)
Under 3.5 52.64% ▲ (+1.00)
Over 4.5 30.9% ▼ (-0.91)
Under 4.5 69.1% ▲ (+0.90)

First Half Winner

Lillestrom 41.38%
Draw 33.91%
Sarpsborg 08 24.71%

Team To Score First

Lillestrom 55.23% ▼ (-0.09)
No Goal 3.2% ▲ (+0.15)
Sarpsborg 08 41.57% ▼ (-0.07)

Corners

Over 8 70.18%
Equal 8 9.63%
Under 8 20.19%
Over 9 59.32%
Equal 9 10.86%
Under 9 29.82%
Over 10.5 48.11%
Under 10.5 51.89%

Lillestrom Goals

Over 1.5 52.48% ▼ (-0.66)
Under 1.5 47.52% ▲ (+0.66)
Over 2.5 28.39% ▼ (-0.69)
Under 2.5 71.61% ▲ (+0.69)
Over 3.5 13.2% ▼ (-0.50)
Under 3.5 86.8% ▲ (+0.50)

Sarpsborg 08 Goals

Over 0.5 70.02% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 0.5 29.98% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 1.5 42.83% ▼ (-0.36)
Under 1.5 57.17% ▲ (+0.36)
Over 2.5 20.63% ▼ (-0.34)
Under 2.5 79.37% ▲ (+0.33)
Over 3.5 8.15% ▼ (-0.21)
Under 3.5 91.85% ▲ (+0.21)

Score analysis

Lillestrom 44.52%
Draw 21.49%
Sarpsborg 08 33.98%
Lillestrom
2-1 @ 8.18% ▲ (+0.05)
3-1 @ 5.45% ▼ (-0.05)
1-0 @ 5.42% ▲ (+0.21)
2-0 @ 5.28% ▲ (+0.11)
3-2 @ 4.12% ▼ (-0.09)
3-0 @ 3.39% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 12.68% ▼ (-0.48)
Total : 44.52%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.63% ▲ (+0.17)
2-2 @ 6.91% ▼ (-0.05)
0-0 @ 3.2% ▲ (+0.15)
3-3 @ 2.23% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 0.52% ▼ (-0.04)
Total : 21.49%
Sarpsborg 08
1-2 @ 7.26% ▲ (+0.05)
0-1 @ 4.93% ▲ (+0.15)
1-3 @ 4.09% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.91% ▲ (+0.08)
2-3 @ 3.72% ▼ (-0.06)
0-3 @ 2.44% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 7.63% ▼ (-0.18)
Total : 33.98%

Head to Head

Norwegian Eliteserien Gameweek 16
Lillestrom
Jul 28, 2024 4.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 2
FT Arasen Stadion
Sarpsborg
  • Eric Kitolano 39' yellowcard
  • Marius Lundemo 40' yellowcard
  • Ruben Gabrielsen 47' goal
  • Marius Lundemo 90'+6' goal
  • goal Henrik Meister 16'
  • goal Henrik Meister 38'
  • yellowcard Stefan Johansen 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Aimar Sher 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Carljohan Eriksson 61'
  • yellowcard Anders Hiim 90'+6'
Norwegian Eliteserien Gameweek 6
Sarpsborg
May 5, 2024 4.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Sarpsborg Stadion
Lillestrom
  • Magnar Odegaard 66' yellowcard
  • Eirik Wichne 68' goal
  • Jeppe Andersen 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Thomas Lehne Olsen 59'
Norwegian Eliteserien Gameweek 22
Sarpsborg
Sep 17, 2023 4.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Sarpsborg Stadion
Lillestrom
  • Sander Johan Christiansen 32' goal
  • Sander Johan Christiansen 40' goal
  • Serge Junior Martinsson-Ngouali 75' goal
  • Kjetil Haug 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Espen Garnas 26'
  • goal Thomas Lehne Olsen 63'
  • yellowcard Yildren Ibrahimaj 73'
Norwegian Eliteserien Gameweek 7
Lillestrom
May 16, 2023 5.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Åråsen Stadion
Sarpsborg
  • Akor Adams 90'+4' goal
  • goal Bjorn Inge Utvik 47'
  • goal Joachim Soltvedt 54'
Norwegian Eliteserien Gameweek 16
Sarpsborg
Jul 31, 2022 2.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Lillestrom
  • Jonathan Lindseth 17' yellowcard
  • Jorgen Horn 30' yellowcard
  • Joachim Soltvedt 44' yellowcard
  • Jorgen Horn 45'+3' redcard
  • Steffen Skalevik 45'+7' yellowcard
  • Bjorn Inge Utvik 75' yellowcard
  • Anton Saletros 75' yellowcard
  • Anton Saletros 75' redcard
  • yellowcard Mads Christiansen 45'+7'
  • goal Pal Andre Helland 76'
  • yellowcard Magnus Knudsen 77'
  • goal Holmbert Fridjonsson 84'
  • yellowcard Ifeanyi Matthew 89'
Norwegian Eliteserien Gameweek 6
Lillestrom
May 16, 2022 5.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Sarpsborg
  • Yildren Ibrahimaj 68' goal
  • yellowcard Bjorn Inge Utvik 9'
  • yellowcard Martin Hoyland 53'
  • yellowcard Serge Junior Martinsson-Ngouali 54'
  • yellowcard Rashad Muhammed 90'+3'

Form Data

Lillestrom 0 - 2 Bodo/Glimt
Valerenga 0 - 2 Lillestrom
Tromso 0 - 0 Lillestrom
Lillestrom 3 - 1 Start
Molde 0 - 1 Lillestrom
Orgryte 0 - 0 Lillestrom
KFUM 1 - 0 Sarpsborg
Sarpsborg 0 - 1 Tromso
Sarpsborg 1 - 1 Bodo/Glimt
Rosenborg 2 - 1 Sarpsborg
Sarpsborg 1 - 1 Start
Sandefjord 0 - 2 Sarpsborg