Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sarpsborg 08 win with a probability of 49.43%. A win for Start had a probability of 26.39% and a draw had a probability of 24.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sarpsborg 08 win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (7.73%). The likeliest Start win was 1-2 (6.62%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.