Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sandefjord win with a probability of 55.91%. A draw had a probability of 22.07% and a win for Start had a probability of 22.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sandefjord win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.51%) and 2-0 (8.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.52%) , while for a Start win it was 1-2 (5.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.