Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sarpsborg 08 win with a probability of 39.63%. A win for Kristiansund had a probability of 36.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sarpsborg 08 win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.9%) and 0-2 (4.87%). The likeliest Kristiansund win was 2-1 (7.87%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.