Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Egersund win with a probability of 39.65%. A win for Kristiansund had a probability of 36.59% and a draw had a probability of 23.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Egersund win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.87%) and 0-2 (4.89%). The likeliest Kristiansund win was 2-1 (8.06%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.