Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sandefjord win with a probability of 54.1%. A win for Sarpsborg 08 had a probability of 24.84% and a draw had a probability of 21.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sandefjord win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.83%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest Sarpsborg 08 win was 1-2 (5.99%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.