Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosenborg win with a probability of 47.63%. A win for Sarpsborg 08 had a probability of 30.28% and a draw had a probability of 22.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rosenborg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.31%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Sarpsborg 08 win was 1-2 (6.76%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood.