Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tromso IL win with a probability of 56.81%. A draw had a probability of 23.23% and a win for Rosenborg had a probability of 19.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tromso IL win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.14%) and 2-0 (10.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.17%) , while for a Rosenborg win it was 0-1 (6.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.