Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Viking FK win with a probability of 44.91%. A win for Tromso IL had a probability of 30.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Viking FK win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.43%) and 0-2 (6.67%). The likeliest Tromso IL win was 1-0 (7.33%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.