Norwegian Eliteserien Gameweek 1
Mar 15, 2026 6.15pm
Alfheim Stadion

Tromso IL vs Fredrikstad - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Tromso IL

All competitions
Norwegian Eliteserien
Last game
Nov 30, 2025 4.00pm
Kristiansund 1 - 3 Tromso

Fredrikstad

All competitions
Norwegian Eliteserien
Last game
Nov 30, 2025 4.00pm
Bodo/Glimt 5 - 0 Fredrikstad

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Tromso IL win with a probability of 49.54%. A draw has a probability of 25.56% and a win for Fredrikstad has a probability of 24.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tromso IL win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.35%) and 2-0 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.1%) , while for a Fredrikstad win it is 0-1 (7.51%).

Result

Tromso IL 49.54% (+0.04)
Draw 25.56%
Fredrikstad 24.93%

Both Teams to Score: 

50.54% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.52% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 26.48% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 48.77%
Under 2.5 51.23%
Over 3.5 27.39%
Under 3.5 72.61%
Over 4.5 15.48%
Under 4.5 84.52%

First Half Winner

Tromso IL 35.58%
Draw 41.19%
Fredrikstad 23.23%

Team To Score First

Tromso IL 52.97%
No Goal 7.6%
Fredrikstad 39.43%

Corners

Over 8 50.5%
Equal 8 12.05%
Under 8 37.45%
Over 9 38.9%
Equal 9 11.6%
Under 9 49.5%
Over 10.5 28.64%
Under 10.5 71.36%

Tromso IL Goals

Over 1.5 45.74% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 54.26% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 20.95% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 79.05% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 7.91%
Under 3.5 92.09%

Fredrikstad Goals

Over 0.5 59.76% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 40.24% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 25.94% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 74.06% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 8.54% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 91.46% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 2.35% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 97.65% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Tromso IL 49.54%
Draw 25.56%
Fredrikstad 24.94%
Tromso IL
1-0 @ 11.41% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.35%
2-0 @ 8.83% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.86% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 4.62%
3-2 @ 2.65%
Other @ 7.82% (+0.02)
Total : 49.54%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.1% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 7.6%
2-2 @ 4.86%
Other @ 0.09% (-0.02)
Total : 25.56%
Fredrikstad
0-1 @ 7.51% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 6.08%
0-2 @ 3.81%
1-3 @ 2.21%
2-3 @ 1.75%
0-3 @ 1.32%
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 24.94%

Head to Head

Norwegian Eliteserien Gameweek 16
Aug 2, 2025 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Norwegian Eliteserien Gameweek 11
Jun 29, 2025 4.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Norwegian Eliteserien Gameweek 18
May 29, 2024 6.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Alfheim Stadion
  • Lasse Nordas 17' goal
  • Jakob Napoleon Romsaas 34' goal
  • Lasse Nordas 80' goal
  • yellowcard Maxwell Woledzi 78'
Norwegian Eliteserien Gameweek 10
May 25, 2024 5.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Nye Fredrikstad Stadion
  • Stian Molde 19' redcard
  • yellowcard Mamadou Thierno Barry 25'
  • yellowcard Ruben Yttergard Jenssen 45'+2'